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Aug 9, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?

Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?

0%
64%
2
icon for Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?

59%
25%
3
icon for US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

38%
23%
4
icon for Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?

28%
23%
5
icon for Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?

22%
21%
6
icon for US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

14%
20%
7
icon for Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?

75%
20%
8
icon for Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?

Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?

63%
19%
9
icon for Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

24%
15%
10
icon for Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?

Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?

39%
15%
11
icon for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

22%
14%
12
icon for Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

73%
14%
13
icon for Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?

Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?

33%
13%
14
icon for Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

55%
13%
15
icon for Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?

38%
12%
16
icon for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?

32%
12%
17
icon for NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?

28%
11%
18
icon for Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

55%
11%
19
icon for Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?

Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?

19%
11%
20
icon for US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?

30%
9%
21
icon for Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

23%
9%
22
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

48%
8%
23
icon for UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

27%
8%
24
icon for Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?

Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?

40%
8%
25
icon for Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

47%
6%