Aug 9, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1

Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
0%
64%
2

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
59%
25%
3

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
38%
23%
4

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
28%
23%
5

Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?
22%
21%
6

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
14%
20%
7

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?
75%
20%
8


Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
63%
19%
9

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
24%
15%
10

Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
39%
15%
11

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
22%
14%
12

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
73%
14%
13


Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
33%
13%
14

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
55%
13%
15

Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?
38%
12%
16

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?
32%
12%
17

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
28%
11%
18


Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
55%
11%
19

Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?
19%
11%
20

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
30%
9%
21


Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
23%
9%
22

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
48%
8%
23

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
27%
8%
24

Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
40%
8%
25

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
47%
6%




