Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Carlos Alcaraz 56%

Alexander Zverev 27.0%

Ben Shelton 8.4%

Frances Tiafoe 4.3%

Polymarket

$22,905,711 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 56%

Alexander Zverev 27.0%

Ben Shelton 8.4%

Frances Tiafoe 4.3%

Polymarket

$22,905,711 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$2,304,497 Vol.

56%

Alexander Zverev

$1,003,297 Vol.

27%

Ben Shelton

$837,724 Vol.

8%

Frances Tiafoe

$800,025 Vol.

4%

Karen Khachanov

$430,499 Vol.

2%

Alexander Blockx

$414,017 Vol.

2%

Casper Ruud

$26,618 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz holds the strongest implied probability in the 2026 US Open men's singles market due to his status as defending champion and recent straight-sets victories at Flushing Meadows, including a dominant fourth-round win over Tommy Paul that signaled full recovery from a four-month wrist injury absence. Alexander Zverev sits second after capturing the 2026 French Open title and reaching the Wimbledon final, backed by consistent quarterfinal appearances across all majors this season and a favorable draw path on hard courts. Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe benefit from home-crowd support and recent wins, such as Tiafoe's straight-sets victory over Daniil Medvedev, though both trail the top two significantly. Lower-priced options like Karen Khachanov and Alexander Blockx reflect deep runs amid early upsets, while Jannik Sinner's pre-tournament withdrawal has concentrated probabilities among the remaining contenders.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,905,711
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz holds the strongest implied probability in the 2026 US Open men's singles market due to his status as defending champion and recent straight-sets victories at Flushing Meadows, including a dominant fourth-round win over Tommy Paul that signaled full recovery from a four-month wrist injury absence. Alexander Zverev sits second after capturing the 2026 French Open title and reaching the Wimbledon final, backed by consistent quarterfinal appearances across all majors this season and a favorable draw path on hard courts. Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe benefit from home-crowd support and recent wins, such as Tiafoe's straight-sets victory over Daniil Medvedev, though both trail the top two significantly. Lower-priced options like Karen Khachanov and Alexander Blockx reflect deep runs amid early upsets, while Jannik Sinner's pre-tournament withdrawal has concentrated probabilities among the remaining contenders.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,905,711
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Related

icon for Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

38%
icon for Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

77%
icon for Will Frances Tiafoe advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

Will Frances Tiafoe advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?

100%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 56%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $22.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.