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icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Carlos Alcaraz 55%

Alexander Zverev 26.8%

Ben Shelton 9.8%

Frances Tiafoe 4.9%

Polymarket

$22,932,893 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 55%

Alexander Zverev 26.8%

Ben Shelton 9.8%

Frances Tiafoe 4.9%

Polymarket

$22,932,893 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$2,312,842 Vol.

55%

Alexander Zverev

$1,011,072 Vol.

27%

Ben Shelton

$847,373 Vol.

10%

Frances Tiafoe

$800,838 Vol.

5%

Karen Khachanov

$430,796 Vol.

2%

Alexander Blockx

$414,321 Vol.

1%

Casper Ruud

$26,618 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 55% implied probability after a strong return from a four-month right wrist injury layoff, having dropped just one set through the round of 16 while extending his major winning streak to 18 matches.** The defending champion has looked sharp on hard courts in New York, recently defeating Tommy Paul in straight sets to reach the quarterfinals. Alexander Zverev sits second at 25.8% as the top seed following Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament knee withdrawal; the French Open champion has posted consecutive straight-sets wins to reach the quarterfinals and holds a favorable draw path. Ben Shelton’s 10.3% reflects his solid recent form and quarterfinal matchup against Alcaraz, while Frances Tiafoe, Karen Khachanov, and Alexander Blockx occupy lower shares consistent with their deeper runs amid a depleted field. Trader consensus incorporates these confirmed results and bracket dynamics as the tournament enters its final week.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,932,893
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 55% implied probability after a strong return from a four-month right wrist injury layoff, having dropped just one set through the round of 16 while extending his major winning streak to 18 matches.** The defending champion has looked sharp on hard courts in New York, recently defeating Tommy Paul in straight sets to reach the quarterfinals. Alexander Zverev sits second at 25.8% as the top seed following Jannik Sinner’s pre-tournament knee withdrawal; the French Open champion has posted consecutive straight-sets wins to reach the quarterfinals and holds a favorable draw path. Ben Shelton’s 10.3% reflects his solid recent form and quarterfinal matchup against Alcaraz, while Frances Tiafoe, Karen Khachanov, and Alexander Blockx occupy lower shares consistent with their deeper runs amid a depleted field. Trader consensus incorporates these confirmed results and bracket dynamics as the tournament enters its final week.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,932,893
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 56%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $22.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.