Aryna Sabalenka holds the top position in the 2026 US Open women's singles market as the two-time defending champion and hard-court leader, with traders pricing her implied probability at 38% amid her 19-match winning streak at Flushing Meadows and recent quarterfinal survival against Linda Noskova. Coco Gauff has climbed to 20.8% on the strength of straight-sets wins and consistent deep runs, while Elena Rybakina's surge to 18.8% reflects her dominant form and potential ranking gains. Jessica Pegula at 12.7% and Mirra Andreeva at 7.8% benefit from quarterfinal advancement and prior major success, though the field remains competitive with several top seeds still in contention for the title.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 38%
Coco Gauff 20.8%
Elena Rybakina 18.4%
Jessica Pegula 12.7%
$10,098,511 Vol.
$10,098,511 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
38%
Coco Gauff
21%
Elena Rybakina
18%
Jessica Pegula
13%
Mirra Andreeva
7%
Qinwen Zheng
4%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 38%
Coco Gauff 20.8%
Elena Rybakina 18.4%
Jessica Pegula 12.7%
$10,098,511 Vol.
$10,098,511 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
38%
Coco Gauff
21%
Elena Rybakina
18%
Jessica Pegula
13%
Mirra Andreeva
7%
Qinwen Zheng
4%
Emma Navarro
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka holds the top position in the 2026 US Open women's singles market as the two-time defending champion and hard-court leader, with traders pricing her implied probability at 38% amid her 19-match winning streak at Flushing Meadows and recent quarterfinal survival against Linda Noskova. Coco Gauff has climbed to 20.8% on the strength of straight-sets wins and consistent deep runs, while Elena Rybakina's surge to 18.8% reflects her dominant form and potential ranking gains. Jessica Pegula at 12.7% and Mirra Andreeva at 7.8% benefit from quarterfinal advancement and prior major success, though the field remains competitive with several top seeds still in contention for the title.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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