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icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 38%

Coco Gauff 20.8%

Elena Rybakina 20.1%

Jessica Pegula 12.6%

Polymarket

$10,097,516 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 38%

Coco Gauff 20.8%

Elena Rybakina 20.1%

Jessica Pegula 12.6%

Polymarket

$10,097,516 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$239,358 Vol.

38%

Coco Gauff

$207,762 Vol.

21%

Elena Rybakina

$370,956 Vol.

20%

Jessica Pegula

$250,207 Vol.

13%

Mirra Andreeva

$208,611 Vol.

8%

Qinwen Zheng

$473,315 Vol.

4%

Emma Navarro

$182,265 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 38% as the two-time defending US Open champion and top seed, having advanced to the semifinals with a resilient three-set quarterfinal win over Linda Noskova while maintaining strong hard-court form. Coco Gauff sits at 20.8% after reaching the quarters with consistent play and a strong summer hard-court record, positioning her as a top American contender. Elena Rybakina at 20.1% has surged on the back of dominant early rounds, including a straight-sets win over Naomi Osaka that placed her one victory from the world No. 1 ranking. Jessica Pegula (12.6%) and Mirra Andreeva (7.9%) remain in contention following quarterfinal appearances, while Qinwen Zheng (3.8%) has impressed with upsets including over Iga Swiatek as a qualifier; Emma Navarro trails at 0.1% in the all-American quarterfinal matchup. These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing recent results, draw positioning, and surface strengths entering the later stages.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,097,516
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads trader consensus at 38% as the two-time defending US Open champion and top seed, having advanced to the semifinals with a resilient three-set quarterfinal win over Linda Noskova while maintaining strong hard-court form. Coco Gauff sits at 20.8% after reaching the quarters with consistent play and a strong summer hard-court record, positioning her as a top American contender. Elena Rybakina at 20.1% has surged on the back of dominant early rounds, including a straight-sets win over Naomi Osaka that placed her one victory from the world No. 1 ranking. Jessica Pegula (12.6%) and Mirra Andreeva (7.9%) remain in contention following quarterfinal appearances, while Qinwen Zheng (3.8%) has impressed with upsets including over Iga Swiatek as a qualifier; Emma Navarro trails at 0.1% in the all-American quarterfinal matchup. These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing recent results, draw positioning, and surface strengths entering the later stages.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,097,516
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 38%, followed by "Coco Gauff" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $10.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Coco Gauff" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.