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icon for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

icon for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19.9%

Gavin Newsom 15.8%

Jon Ossoff 13.7%

Kamala Harris 7.4%

Polymarket

$1,262,595,079 Vol.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19.9%

Gavin Newsom 15.8%

Jon Ossoff 13.7%

Kamala Harris 7.4%

Polymarket

$1,262,595,079 Vol.

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$14,764,148 Vol.

20%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$26,835,646 Vol.

16%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$12,697,654 Vol.

14%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$13,002,787 Vol.

7%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$11,831,244 Vol.

5%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,563,143 Vol.

5%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$17,268,590 Vol.

3%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$14,507,958 Vol.

2%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$12,996,326 Vol.

2%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$11,200,304 Vol.

2%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$10,520,292 Vol.

2%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$18,077,541 Vol.

2%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$15,450,436 Vol.

1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$11,963,953 Vol.

1%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$32,092,796 Vol.

1%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$24,629,510 Vol.

1%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$26,149,823 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$12,413,009 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$25,637,874 Vol.

1%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$22,869,385 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$44,201,580 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$52,688,154 Vol.

<1%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$21,776,391 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$42,957,560 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$38,640,666 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$24,402,786 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$50,235,870 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$31,410,398 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chris Murphy

Chris Murphy

$17,192,051 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$54,309,070 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$35,620,017 Vol.

<1%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$33,902,569 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$38,398,699 Vol.

<1%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$42,715,240 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruben Gallego

Ruben Gallego

$8,397,051 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$27,234,617 Vol.

<1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$43,867,737 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett

$36,395,940 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graham Platner

Graham Platner

$8,107,297 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elissa Slotkin

Elissa Slotkin

$948,082 Vol.

<1%

icon for Abigail Spanberger

Abigail Spanberger

$327,768 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$43,020,689 Vol.

<1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$48,665,676 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$42,795,910 Vol.

<1%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$42,244,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$40,927,113 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$43,730,434 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Schiff

Adam Schiff

$431,311 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Stein

Josh Stein

$1,206,902 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alex Padilla

Alex Padilla

$678,037 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$692,909 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic presidential nomination for 2028 remains fragmented with no dominant frontrunner nearly two years after the prior cycle. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at roughly 20 percent implied probability, followed closely by Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff, as traders price in a wide-open contest between progressive and moderate wings. The tight spread reflects uncertainty over party direction, potential 2026 midterm gains or losses that could elevate governors and senators, and the lack of early primary polling or major endorsements. Separation could emerge from strong fundraising reports, formal campaign launches, caucus and primary results in Iowa and New Hampshire, or standout performances in candidate forums.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,262,595,079
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic presidential nomination for 2028 remains fragmented with no dominant frontrunner nearly two years after the prior cycle. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at roughly 20 percent implied probability, followed closely by Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff, as traders price in a wide-open contest between progressive and moderate wings. The tight spread reflects uncertainty over party direction, potential 2026 midterm gains or losses that could elevate governors and senators, and the lack of early primary polling or major endorsements. Separation could emerge from strong fundraising reports, formal campaign launches, caucus and primary results in Iowa and New Hampshire, or standout performances in candidate forums.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,262,595,079
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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