Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Texas Senate and Governor Combo
Politics·Election

Texas Senate and Governor Combo

icon for Texas Senate and Governor Combo
Politics·Election

Texas Senate and Governor Combo

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 37%

Dems sweep 31%

Reps sweep 21%

Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 37%

Dems sweep 31%

Reps sweep 21%

Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate

$2,180 Vol.

37%

Dems sweep

$573 Vol.

31%

Reps sweep

$1,028 Vol.

21%

Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate

$331 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Texas gubernatorial race between incumbent Republican Greg Abbott and Democrat Gina Hinojosa remaining close, with Abbott holding a narrow lead in most surveys released through early September. In the U.S. Senate contest, Republican Ken Paxton—who defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the May primary runoff—faces Democrat James Talarico in a toss-up or slight Democratic-leaning environment according to late-summer and early-fall polls. These dynamics position a Republican governor win paired with a Democratic Senate victory as the most probable specific party combination among listed outcomes, while the elevated "other" share reflects ongoing uncertainty over final margins, turnout, and potential third-party effects ahead of the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$4,112
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Texas gubernatorial race between incumbent Republican Greg Abbott and Democrat Gina Hinojosa remaining close, with Abbott holding a narrow lead in most surveys released through early September. In the U.S. Senate contest, Republican Ken Paxton—who defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the May primary runoff—faces Democrat James Talarico in a toss-up or slight Democratic-leaning environment according to late-summer and early-fall polls. These dynamics position a Republican governor win paired with a Democratic Senate victory as the most probable specific party combination among listed outcomes, while the elevated "other" share reflects ongoing uncertainty over final margins, turnout, and potential third-party effects ahead of the November 3 election.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$4,112
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?

Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?

89%
icon for Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

48%
icon for Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?

Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?

62%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Texas Senate and Governor Combo" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate" at 37%, followed by "Dems sweep" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Texas Senate and Governor Combo" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Texas Senate and Governor Combo," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Texas Senate and Governor Combo" is "Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dems sweep" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Texas Senate and Governor Combo" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.