Recent polling averages from aggregators such as the New York Times and Silver Bulletin have held steady near 38 percent through early September 2026, reflecting limited movement in public sentiment amid ongoing assessments of economic conditions, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy developments. Individual surveys released around September 4, including Rasmussen Reports at 44 percent and several others in the low-to-mid 30s, clustered around this range after months of stability in the mid-to-high 30s. Trader consensus in the 38.5–38.9 band aligns with these weighted aggregates that account for poll quality and recency, while narrower or outlier ranges show minimal probability due to the absence of abrupt shifts in the latest data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.5–38.9 99.9%
<37.0 <1%
37.0–37.4 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
$10,024 Vol.
$10,024 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
No
37.0–37.4
No
37.5–37.9
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
Yes
39.0+
No
38.5–38.9 99.9%
<37.0 <1%
37.0–37.4 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
$10,024 Vol.
$10,024 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
$963 Vol.
No
37.0–37.4
$950 Vol.
No
37.5–37.9
$1,329 Vol.
No
38.0–38.4
$2,269 Vol.
No
38.5–38.9
$3,124 Vol.
Yes
39.0+
$1,390 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from aggregators such as the New York Times and Silver Bulletin have held steady near 38 percent through early September 2026, reflecting limited movement in public sentiment amid ongoing assessments of economic conditions, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy developments. Individual surveys released around September 4, including Rasmussen Reports at 44 percent and several others in the low-to-mid 30s, clustered around this range after months of stability in the mid-to-high 30s. Trader consensus in the 38.5–38.9 band aligns with these weighted aggregates that account for poll quality and recency, while narrower or outlier ranges show minimal probability due to the absence of abrupt shifts in the latest data releases.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$10,024End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages from aggregators such as the New York Times and Silver Bulletin have held steady near 38 percent through early September 2026, reflecting limited movement in public sentiment amid ongoing assessments of economic conditions, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy developments. Individual surveys released around September 4, including Rasmussen Reports at 44 percent and several others in the low-to-mid 30s, clustered around this range after months of stability in the mid-to-high 30s. Trader consensus in the 38.5–38.9 band aligns with these weighted aggregates that account for poll quality and recency, while narrower or outlier ranges show minimal probability due to the absence of abrupt shifts in the latest data releases.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$10,024End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent polling averages from aggregators such as the New York Times and Silver Bulletin have held steady near 38 percent through early September 2026, reflecting limited movement in public sentiment amid ongoing assessments of economic conditions, immigration enforcement, and foreign policy developments. Individual surveys released around September 4, including Rasmussen Reports at 44 percent and several others in the low-to-mid 30s, clustered around this range after months of stability in the mid-to-high 30s. Trader consensus in the 38.5–38.9 band aligns with these weighted aggregates that account for poll quality and recency, while narrower or outlier ranges show minimal probability due to the absence of abrupt shifts in the latest data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions