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icon for Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

icon for Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

NEW
Sep 15, 2026
Polymarket

$8,649 Vol.

Polymarket

September 15

$2,271 Vol.

1%

September 30

$4,928 Vol.

26%

October 31

$114 Vol.

64%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and U.S. President Donald Trump maintain regular contact through phone calls on global issues such as Ukraine, Iran, energy markets, and trade, even as bilateral talks on a new North American trade agreement remain stalled following their collapse last month. Carney has confirmed multiple recent conversations with Trump and continues to describe Canada as open to a mutually beneficial deal. An in-person Oval Office meeting occurred in 2025, while G7 discussions in June 2026 featured several informal exchanges without a formal bilateral session. Carney’s current focus on an investment summit in Toronto and European diplomatic travel highlights efforts to diversify partnerships amid ongoing tariff disputes and U.S. import restrictions set to take effect later this month. Scheduled diplomatic calendars and any breakthrough in trade negotiations remain the primary near-term factors that could prompt or delay a meeting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,649
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and U.S. President Donald Trump maintain regular contact through phone calls on global issues such as Ukraine, Iran, energy markets, and trade, even as bilateral talks on a new North American trade agreement remain stalled following their collapse last month. Carney has confirmed multiple recent conversations with Trump and continues to describe Canada as open to a mutually beneficial deal. An in-person Oval Office meeting occurred in 2025, while G7 discussions in June 2026 featured several informal exchanges without a formal bilateral session. Carney’s current focus on an investment summit in Toronto and European diplomatic travel highlights efforts to diversify partnerships amid ongoing tariff disputes and U.S. import restrictions set to take effect later this month. Scheduled diplomatic calendars and any breakthrough in trade negotiations remain the primary near-term factors that could prompt or delay a meeting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,649
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "October 31" at 64%, followed by "September 30" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" is "October 31" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.