**President Trump remains actively engaged in his second term as of September 2026, with no formal resignation, successful impeachment, or sustained invocation of the 25th Amendment under consideration.** Official actions include border enforcement, crime reduction measures, energy policy shifts, and ongoing diplomatic and military involvement tied to the Iran conflict, alongside public appearances such as the September 11 Pentagon commemoration. White House medical updates and physician statements describe the president’s condition as excellent following recent exams, despite scattered partisan speculation and media reports on visible physical traits or cognitive concerns that lack official confirmation. With Republican congressional majorities and midterm dynamics still unfolding, no procedural pathways for early removal have advanced. This backdrop supports the market’s 94.5% implied probability that Trump completes his term through at least the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6% chance
$11,467,155 Vol.
$11,467,155 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% chance
$11,467,155 Vol.
$11,467,155 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**President Trump remains actively engaged in his second term as of September 2026, with no formal resignation, successful impeachment, or sustained invocation of the 25th Amendment under consideration.** Official actions include border enforcement, crime reduction measures, energy policy shifts, and ongoing diplomatic and military involvement tied to the Iran conflict, alongside public appearances such as the September 11 Pentagon commemoration. White House medical updates and physician statements describe the president’s condition as excellent following recent exams, despite scattered partisan speculation and media reports on visible physical traits or cognitive concerns that lack official confirmation. With Republican congressional majorities and midterm dynamics still unfolding, no procedural pathways for early removal have advanced. This backdrop supports the market’s 94.5% implied probability that Trump completes his term through at least the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$11,467,155End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**President Trump remains actively engaged in his second term as of September 2026, with no formal resignation, successful impeachment, or sustained invocation of the 25th Amendment under consideration.** Official actions include border enforcement, crime reduction measures, energy policy shifts, and ongoing diplomatic and military involvement tied to the Iran conflict, alongside public appearances such as the September 11 Pentagon commemoration. White House medical updates and physician statements describe the president’s condition as excellent following recent exams, despite scattered partisan speculation and media reports on visible physical traits or cognitive concerns that lack official confirmation. With Republican congressional majorities and midterm dynamics still unfolding, no procedural pathways for early removal have advanced. This backdrop supports the market’s 94.5% implied probability that Trump completes his term through at least the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,467,155End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Trump remains actively engaged in his second term as of September 2026, with no formal resignation, successful impeachment, or sustained invocation of the 25th Amendment under consideration.** Official actions include border enforcement, crime reduction measures, energy policy shifts, and ongoing diplomatic and military involvement tied to the Iran conflict, alongside public appearances such as the September 11 Pentagon commemoration. White House medical updates and physician statements describe the president’s condition as excellent following recent exams, despite scattered partisan speculation and media reports on visible physical traits or cognitive concerns that lack official confirmation. With Republican congressional majorities and midterm dynamics still unfolding, no procedural pathways for early removal have advanced. This backdrop supports the market’s 94.5% implied probability that Trump completes his term through at least the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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