Iran's rial faces sustained depreciation pressure from international sanctions restricting oil export revenues and foreign currency access, combined with high domestic inflation and fiscal deficits that erode currency stability. The open-market rate recently approached or exceeded 1.9 million rials per USD amid these dynamics, aligning with the market's heaviest probability weighting on the 1.8–2.0 million range at month-end. Ongoing enforcement actions targeting sanction-evasion channels and broader economic contraction forecasts further limit near-term appreciation potential, while any temporary easing in oil sales or diplomatic signals could modestly support the currency within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.9-2.0M 42%
1.8-1.9M 27%
2.0-2.1M 16.3%
1.7-1.8M 15%
$23,450 Vol.
$23,450 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<1.7M
8%
1.7-1.8M
15%
1.8-1.9M
27%
1.9-2.0M
42%
2.0-2.1M
16%
2.1-2.2M
3%
2.2M+
3%
1.9-2.0M 42%
1.8-1.9M 27%
2.0-2.1M 16.3%
1.7-1.8M 15%
$23,450 Vol.
$23,450 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<1.7M
$4,149 Vol.
8%
1.7-1.8M
$1,010 Vol.
15%
1.8-1.9M
$1,886 Vol.
27%
1.9-2.0M
$7,694 Vol.
42%
2.0-2.1M
$3,375 Vol.
16%
2.1-2.2M
$4,564 Vol.
3%
2.2M+
$772 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Iran's rial faces sustained depreciation pressure from international sanctions restricting oil export revenues and foreign currency access, combined with high domestic inflation and fiscal deficits that erode currency stability. The open-market rate recently approached or exceeded 1.9 million rials per USD amid these dynamics, aligning with the market's heaviest probability weighting on the 1.8–2.0 million range at month-end. Ongoing enforcement actions targeting sanction-evasion channels and broader economic contraction forecasts further limit near-term appreciation potential, while any temporary easing in oil sales or diplomatic signals could modestly support the currency within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$23,450End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Iran's rial faces sustained depreciation pressure from international sanctions restricting oil export revenues and foreign currency access, combined with high domestic inflation and fiscal deficits that erode currency stability. The open-market rate recently approached or exceeded 1.9 million rials per USD amid these dynamics, aligning with the market's heaviest probability weighting on the 1.8–2.0 million range at month-end. Ongoing enforcement actions targeting sanction-evasion channels and broader economic contraction forecasts further limit near-term appreciation potential, while any temporary easing in oil sales or diplomatic signals could modestly support the currency within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$23,450End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran's rial faces sustained depreciation pressure from international sanctions restricting oil export revenues and foreign currency access, combined with high domestic inflation and fiscal deficits that erode currency stability. The open-market rate recently approached or exceeded 1.9 million rials per USD amid these dynamics, aligning with the market's heaviest probability weighting on the 1.8–2.0 million range at month-end. Ongoing enforcement actions targeting sanction-evasion channels and broader economic contraction forecasts further limit near-term appreciation potential, while any temporary easing in oil sales or diplomatic signals could modestly support the currency within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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