The Vermont gubernatorial race features incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeking a sixth term against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, with forecasts showing a wide margin that limits broad mobilization. Trader consensus centers on 275,000–325,000 total ballots, reflecting historical off-year turnout patterns in the state amid roughly 500,000 registered voters and the absence of a presidential contest on the November 3 ballot. The August Democratic primary produced higher-than-expected participation that nominated Janoo, yet provided limited signals for general-election enthusiasm. Factors that could widen the range include intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, shifts in polling margins, or weather and ballot measures affecting participation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated300K-325K 37%
275K-300K 33%
325K-350K 16.0%
250K-275K 10%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<225K
6%
225K-250K
4%
250K-275K
10%
275K-300K
33%
300K-325K
37%
325K-350K
16%
350K+
6%
300K-325K 37%
275K-300K 33%
325K-350K 16.0%
250K-275K 10%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<225K
$165 Vol.
6%
225K-250K
$190 Vol.
4%
250K-275K
$426 Vol.
10%
275K-300K
$2,312 Vol.
33%
300K-325K
$265 Vol.
37%
325K-350K
$220 Vol.
16%
350K+
$165 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Vermont gubernatorial race features incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeking a sixth term against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, with forecasts showing a wide margin that limits broad mobilization. Trader consensus centers on 275,000–325,000 total ballots, reflecting historical off-year turnout patterns in the state amid roughly 500,000 registered voters and the absence of a presidential contest on the November 3 ballot. The August Democratic primary produced higher-than-expected participation that nominated Janoo, yet provided limited signals for general-election enthusiasm. Factors that could widen the range include intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, shifts in polling margins, or weather and ballot measures affecting participation.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$3,742End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Vermont gubernatorial race features incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeking a sixth term against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, with forecasts showing a wide margin that limits broad mobilization. Trader consensus centers on 275,000–325,000 total ballots, reflecting historical off-year turnout patterns in the state amid roughly 500,000 registered voters and the absence of a presidential contest on the November 3 ballot. The August Democratic primary produced higher-than-expected participation that nominated Janoo, yet provided limited signals for general-election enthusiasm. Factors that could widen the range include intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, shifts in polling margins, or weather and ballot measures affecting participation.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,742End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Vermont gubernatorial race features incumbent Republican Phil Scott seeking a sixth term against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, with forecasts showing a wide margin that limits broad mobilization. Trader consensus centers on 275,000–325,000 total ballots, reflecting historical off-year turnout patterns in the state amid roughly 500,000 registered voters and the absence of a presidential contest on the November 3 ballot. The August Democratic primary produced higher-than-expected participation that nominated Janoo, yet provided limited signals for general-election enthusiasm. Factors that could widen the range include intensified get-out-the-vote efforts, shifts in polling margins, or weather and ballot measures affecting participation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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