The broad distribution of low probabilities across more than two dozen candidates underscores the absence of a clear frontrunner in the White House search to succeed Karoline Leavitt, who stepped down at the end of August 2026. Anna Kelly holds the lead at 22% as principal deputy press secretary with direct briefing-room experience, while Scott Jennings sits at 16% following reported meetings with senior officials and Maria Bartiromo at 11.5% after recent media developments. Public denials from Alina Habba and noncommittal comments from other names have prevented any consolidation, leaving trader consensus fragmented. An official announcement, additional high-level interviews, or standout interim briefings could consolidate support ahead of the midterms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAnna Kelly 22%
Scott Jennings 16.1%
Maria Bartiromo 12%
Alina Habba 6.0%
$390,274 Vol.
$390,274 Vol.

Anna Kelly
22%

Scott Jennings
16%

Maria Bartiromo
12%

Alina Habba
6%

Margo Martin
2%

Natalie Harp
2%

Katie Miller
1%

Tricia McLaughlin
1%

Katie Pavlich
1%

Liz Huston
1%

Taylor Rogers
1%

Kush Desai
1%

Harrison Fields
1%

Pat Adams
1%

Lauren Bis
1%

Ari Fleischer
1%

Spencer Pratt
1%

Lara Trump
1%

Kari Lake
<1%

Kayleigh McEnany
<1%

Katie Zacharia
<1%

Matthew Boyle
<1%

Rachel Campos-Duffy
<1%

Kaelan Dorr
<1%

Monica Crowley
<1%

Hogan Gidley
<1%
Anna Kelly 22%
Scott Jennings 16.1%
Maria Bartiromo 12%
Alina Habba 6.0%
$390,274 Vol.
$390,274 Vol.

Anna Kelly
22%

Scott Jennings
16%

Maria Bartiromo
12%

Alina Habba
6%

Margo Martin
2%

Natalie Harp
2%

Katie Miller
1%

Tricia McLaughlin
1%

Katie Pavlich
1%

Liz Huston
1%

Taylor Rogers
1%

Kush Desai
1%

Harrison Fields
1%

Pat Adams
1%

Lauren Bis
1%

Ari Fleischer
1%

Spencer Pratt
1%

Lara Trump
1%

Kari Lake
<1%

Kayleigh McEnany
<1%

Katie Zacharia
<1%

Matthew Boyle
<1%

Rachel Campos-Duffy
<1%

Kaelan Dorr
<1%

Monica Crowley
<1%

Hogan Gidley
<1%
A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The broad distribution of low probabilities across more than two dozen candidates underscores the absence of a clear frontrunner in the White House search to succeed Karoline Leavitt, who stepped down at the end of August 2026. Anna Kelly holds the lead at 22% as principal deputy press secretary with direct briefing-room experience, while Scott Jennings sits at 16% following reported meetings with senior officials and Maria Bartiromo at 11.5% after recent media developments. Public denials from Alina Habba and noncommittal comments from other names have prevented any consolidation, leaving trader consensus fragmented. An official announcement, additional high-level interviews, or standout interim briefings could consolidate support ahead of the midterms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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