Karoline Leavitt’s August 2026 departure announcement as White House press secretary has triggered an open-ended selection process under Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, with no confirmed frontrunner or timeline. Trader consensus remains fragmented because multiple candidates—internal figures such as principal deputy Anna Kelly and external commentators like Scott Jennings—possess comparable records of loyalty, media experience, and alignment with administration messaging priorities. Recent reports of meetings and public denials have shifted individual probabilities modestly without consolidating support behind any single name. The field stays competitive as Trump weighs preferences for television presence, institutional knowledge, and surrogate effectiveness ahead of midterms, leaving room for late developments such as additional meetings, endorsements, or policy signals to alter positioning before a final choice.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAnna Kelly 22%
Scott Jennings 16.1%
Maria Bartiromo 12%
Alina Habba 6.2%
$390,274 Vol.
$390,274 Vol.

Anna Kelly
22%

Scott Jennings
16%

Maria Bartiromo
12%

Alina Habba
6%

Margo Martin
2%

Natalie Harp
2%

Katie Miller
1%

Tricia McLaughlin
1%

Katie Pavlich
1%

Liz Huston
1%

Taylor Rogers
1%

Harrison Fields
1%

Kush Desai
1%

Pat Adams
1%

Lauren Bis
1%

Ari Fleischer
1%

Spencer Pratt
1%

Lara Trump
1%

Kari Lake
<1%

Kayleigh McEnany
<1%

Katie Zacharia
<1%

Matthew Boyle
<1%

Rachel Campos-Duffy
<1%

Kaelan Dorr
<1%

Monica Crowley
<1%

Hogan Gidley
<1%
Anna Kelly 22%
Scott Jennings 16.1%
Maria Bartiromo 12%
Alina Habba 6.2%
$390,274 Vol.
$390,274 Vol.

Anna Kelly
22%

Scott Jennings
16%

Maria Bartiromo
12%

Alina Habba
6%

Margo Martin
2%

Natalie Harp
2%

Katie Miller
1%

Tricia McLaughlin
1%

Katie Pavlich
1%

Liz Huston
1%

Taylor Rogers
1%

Harrison Fields
1%

Kush Desai
1%

Pat Adams
1%

Lauren Bis
1%

Ari Fleischer
1%

Spencer Pratt
1%

Lara Trump
1%

Kari Lake
<1%

Kayleigh McEnany
<1%

Katie Zacharia
<1%

Matthew Boyle
<1%

Rachel Campos-Duffy
<1%

Kaelan Dorr
<1%

Monica Crowley
<1%

Hogan Gidley
<1%
A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Karoline Leavitt’s August 2026 departure announcement as White House press secretary has triggered an open-ended selection process under Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, with no confirmed frontrunner or timeline. Trader consensus remains fragmented because multiple candidates—internal figures such as principal deputy Anna Kelly and external commentators like Scott Jennings—possess comparable records of loyalty, media experience, and alignment with administration messaging priorities. Recent reports of meetings and public denials have shifted individual probabilities modestly without consolidating support behind any single name. The field stays competitive as Trump weighs preferences for television presence, institutional knowledge, and surrogate effectiveness ahead of midterms, leaving room for late developments such as additional meetings, endorsements, or policy signals to alter positioning before a final choice.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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