President Trump’s ongoing diplomatic engagement with Iran, including his August 3 statement describing U.S. talks as Tehran’s “last chance” before escalation and noting requests from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar to continue negotiations, remains the dominant driver of trader focus on likely August contacts. White House schedules show repeated policy meetings and briefings this month, while broader foreign-policy priorities such as reopening the Strait of Hormuz and managing regional alliances continue to shape expectations for calls with international counterparts. Historical patterns of presidential outreach during active crises and the resolution window through August 31 further direct attention to high-profile figures positioned to influence or participate in these discussions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$34,168 Vol.

Mark Carney
76%

Andy Burnham
66%

Vladimir Putin
52%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
62%

Emmanuel Macron
52%

Friedrich Merz
49%

Mark Rutte
64%

Ursula von der Leyen
28%

Xi Jinping
19%

Miguel Díaz-Canel
8%

Maria Corina Machado
6%

Pope Leo XIV
4%

Masoud Pezeshkian
3%

Kim Jong Un
2%

Reza Pahlavi
2%

Mojtaba Khamenei
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
50%

Lula da Silva
57%

Elon Musk
42%
$34,168 Vol.

Mark Carney
76%

Andy Burnham
66%

Vladimir Putin
52%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
62%

Emmanuel Macron
52%

Friedrich Merz
49%

Mark Rutte
64%

Ursula von der Leyen
28%

Xi Jinping
19%

Miguel Díaz-Canel
8%

Maria Corina Machado
6%

Pope Leo XIV
4%

Masoud Pezeshkian
3%

Kim Jong Un
2%

Reza Pahlavi
2%

Mojtaba Khamenei
1%

Nicolás Maduro
1%

Yoon Suk Yeol
1%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
50%

Lula da Silva
57%

Elon Musk
42%
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.
If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.
If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s ongoing diplomatic engagement with Iran, including his August 3 statement describing U.S. talks as Tehran’s “last chance” before escalation and noting requests from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar to continue negotiations, remains the dominant driver of trader focus on likely August contacts. White House schedules show repeated policy meetings and briefings this month, while broader foreign-policy priorities such as reopening the Strait of Hormuz and managing regional alliances continue to shape expectations for calls with international counterparts. Historical patterns of presidential outreach during active crises and the resolution window through August 31 further direct attention to high-profile figures positioned to influence or participate in these discussions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions