**Max Miller remains on the ballot for Ohio’s 7th Congressional District after key August 2026 withdrawal deadlines passed without his exit, locking in a matchup against Democrat Brian Poindexter.** Domestic abuse allegations from his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno), prompted public calls to step aside from both Ohio senators and party concerns over electability in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Miller has repeatedly denied the claims, rejected pressure, loaned his campaign $1 million, and continued active campaigning. The House Ethics Committee opened an inquiry, but no pre-election action occurred. Recent polling shows the race as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, with national GOP groups providing support. Traders price near-term dropout probabilities low given Miller’s stated resolve and the absence of new procedural triggers before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$164,641 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30?
3%
$164,641 Vol.
September 30?
$6,540 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 OH-07 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 OH-07 Congressional campaign, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Max Miller remains on the ballot for Ohio’s 7th Congressional District after key August 2026 withdrawal deadlines passed without his exit, locking in a matchup against Democrat Brian Poindexter.** Domestic abuse allegations from his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno), prompted public calls to step aside from both Ohio senators and party concerns over electability in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Miller has repeatedly denied the claims, rejected pressure, loaned his campaign $1 million, and continued active campaigning. The House Ethics Committee opened an inquiry, but no pre-election action occurred. Recent polling shows the race as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, with national GOP groups providing support. Traders price near-term dropout probabilities low given Miller’s stated resolve and the absence of new procedural triggers before November.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 OH-07 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 OH-07 Congressional campaign, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volume
$164,641End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 OH-07 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 OH-07 Congressional campaign, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Max Miller remains on the ballot for Ohio’s 7th Congressional District after key August 2026 withdrawal deadlines passed without his exit, locking in a matchup against Democrat Brian Poindexter.** Domestic abuse allegations from his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno), prompted public calls to step aside from both Ohio senators and party concerns over electability in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Miller has repeatedly denied the claims, rejected pressure, loaned his campaign $1 million, and continued active campaigning. The House Ethics Committee opened an inquiry, but no pre-election action occurred. Recent polling shows the race as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, with national GOP groups providing support. Traders price near-term dropout probabilities low given Miller’s stated resolve and the absence of new procedural triggers before November.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 OH-07 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 OH-07 Congressional campaign, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$164,641End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Max Miller remains on the ballot for Ohio’s 7th Congressional District after key August 2026 withdrawal deadlines passed without his exit, locking in a matchup against Democrat Brian Poindexter.** Domestic abuse allegations from his ex-wife, Emily Moreno (daughter of Sen. Bernie Moreno), prompted public calls to step aside from both Ohio senators and party concerns over electability in a district Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Miller has repeatedly denied the claims, rejected pressure, loaned his campaign $1 million, and continued active campaigning. The House Ethics Committee opened an inquiry, but no pre-election action occurred. Recent polling shows the race as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, with national GOP groups providing support. Traders price near-term dropout probabilities low given Miller’s stated resolve and the absence of new procedural triggers before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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