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icon for Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
World·Trump-Machado

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

icon for Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
World·Trump-Machado

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

8% chance
Polymarket

$114,663 Vol.

8% chance
Polymarket

$114,663 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.Trump administration officials have prioritized a managed political transition in Venezuela through direct engagement with acting President Delcy Rodríguez and interim authorities, including oil agreements and diplomatic restoration, rather than backing opposition figures like María Corina Machado for the presidency. Recent developments include September 2026 talks between U.S. representatives and Venezuelan officials that exclude Machado's full participation, alongside reports of Trump advising her against an immediate return due to security concerns. Machado continues to advocate for early presidential elections with herself as the candidate and maintains public support for Trump as a strategic ally, but trader consensus reflects the administration's focus on stabilization and institutional negotiations over an explicit endorsement ahead of any 2026 vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$114,663
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.Trump administration officials have prioritized a managed political transition in Venezuela through direct engagement with acting President Delcy Rodríguez and interim authorities, including oil agreements and diplomatic restoration, rather than backing opposition figures like María Corina Machado for the presidency. Recent developments include September 2026 talks between U.S. representatives and Venezuelan officials that exclude Machado's full participation, alongside reports of Trump advising her against an immediate return due to security concerns. Machado continues to advocate for early presidential elections with herself as the candidate and maintains public support for Trump as a strategic ally, but trader consensus reflects the administration's focus on stabilization and institutional negotiations over an explicit endorsement ahead of any 2026 vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volume
$114,663
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 8% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 8¢, the market collectively assigns a 8% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?" has generated $114.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?" is 8% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 8% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.