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icon for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner

icon for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner

Polymarket

$52,582 Vol.

Polymarket

$52,582 Vol.

icon for Francesca Hong

Francesca Hong

$22,908 Vol.

No

icon for David Crowley

David Crowley

$29,673 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.David Crowley secured a decisive victory in Waukesha County during the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, outpacing Francesca Hong by double digits in early tallies from over 50,000 votes cast. As Milwaukee County executive with prior state legislative experience, Crowley benefited from establishment endorsements, including from outgoing Governor Tony Evers, and a focus on economic issues that aligned with suburban voter preferences in this historically competitive area. Hong, a state representative positioned further left on policy priorities, drew stronger support in urban and other counties but trailed statewide by roughly 3,000 votes overall. With certified results confirming the outcome, trader consensus reflects the completed county-level margin. Late procedural challenges or recount triggers remain possible but improbable given the scale of the lead.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.
Volume
$52,582
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.David Crowley secured a decisive victory in Waukesha County during the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, outpacing Francesca Hong by double digits in early tallies from over 50,000 votes cast. As Milwaukee County executive with prior state legislative experience, Crowley benefited from establishment endorsements, including from outgoing Governor Tony Evers, and a focus on economic issues that aligned with suburban voter preferences in this historically competitive area. Hong, a state representative positioned further left on policy priorities, drew stronger support in urban and other counties but trailed statewide by roughly 3,000 votes overall. With certified results confirming the outcome, trader consensus reflects the completed county-level margin. Late procedural challenges or recount triggers remain possible but improbable given the scale of the lead.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.
Volume
$52,582
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Crowley" at 100%, followed by "Francesca Hong" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner" has generated $52.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner" is "David Crowley" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Francesca Hong" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.