The solidly Republican character of Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest, featuring Harriet Hageman against James Byrd following the August primary, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 190K-230K. With the seat rated safe Republican and minimal Democratic mobilization historically, the market reflects standard midterm patterns of lower participation than presidential years, consistent with registered-voter turnout around 45-55 percent and voting-age population trends near 200K ballots. Recent primary results showed typical engagement levels outside high-profile cycles, with few late catalysts such as national events, weather shifts, or intensified get-out-the-vote efforts expected to push totals outside the central range before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated190K-210K 45%
210K-230K 38%
170K-190K 10%
250K+ 6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
3%
150K-170K
4%
170K-190K
10%
190K-210K
45%
210K-230K
36%
230K-250K
3%
250K+
6%
190K-210K 45%
210K-230K 38%
170K-190K 10%
250K+ 6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
$246 Vol.
3%
150K-170K
$87 Vol.
4%
170K-190K
$178 Vol.
10%
190K-210K
$2,463 Vol.
45%
210K-230K
$397 Vol.
36%
230K-250K
$109 Vol.
3%
250K+
$572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The solidly Republican character of Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest, featuring Harriet Hageman against James Byrd following the August primary, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 190K-230K. With the seat rated safe Republican and minimal Democratic mobilization historically, the market reflects standard midterm patterns of lower participation than presidential years, consistent with registered-voter turnout around 45-55 percent and voting-age population trends near 200K ballots. Recent primary results showed typical engagement levels outside high-profile cycles, with few late catalysts such as national events, weather shifts, or intensified get-out-the-vote efforts expected to push totals outside the central range before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$4,052End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The solidly Republican character of Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest, featuring Harriet Hageman against James Byrd following the August primary, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 190K-230K. With the seat rated safe Republican and minimal Democratic mobilization historically, the market reflects standard midterm patterns of lower participation than presidential years, consistent with registered-voter turnout around 45-55 percent and voting-age population trends near 200K ballots. Recent primary results showed typical engagement levels outside high-profile cycles, with few late catalysts such as national events, weather shifts, or intensified get-out-the-vote efforts expected to push totals outside the central range before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,052End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The solidly Republican character of Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest, featuring Harriet Hageman against James Byrd following the August primary, anchors trader expectations for turnout near 190K-230K. With the seat rated safe Republican and minimal Democratic mobilization historically, the market reflects standard midterm patterns of lower participation than presidential years, consistent with registered-voter turnout around 45-55 percent and voting-age population trends near 200K ballots. Recent primary results showed typical engagement levels outside high-profile cycles, with few late catalysts such as national events, weather shifts, or intensified get-out-the-vote efforts expected to push totals outside the central range before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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