**António Guterres is serving the final months of his second five-year term as UN Secretary-General, which concludes on December 31, 2026, with a successor expected to assume office on January 1, 2027.** The ongoing selection process, initiated in late 2025, features eight candidates undergoing Security Council straw polls and interactive dialogues, consistent with standard procedures under the UN Charter. Recent statements from Guterres, including interviews and remarks at the 81st UN General Assembly session in September 2026, explicitly reference his departure at year-end and offer advice to his successor without signaling any intent to resign early or face removal. No official announcements, Security Council actions, or credible reports indicate premature exit due to health, political pressure, or other factors. Trader pricing at 73% for “No” aligns with this scheduled transition and the absence of disruptive developments that would trigger an earlier departure before the resolution date.