António Guterres is serving out the final months of his second five-year term as UN Secretary-General, which concludes on December 31, 2026, under standard institutional rules that permit one renewal. The formal selection process for his successor has already begun, including joint letters from the Security Council and General Assembly presidents, candidate presentations, and an initial informal poll, yet no official statements, health developments, or diplomatic pressures indicate an early departure or forced exit. Guterres continues routine public duties on climate, migration, and conflict mediation without signals of resignation. Trader consensus at 75.5% for “No” aligns with the absence of any recent catalyst that would accelerate his removal ahead of the scheduled end date, consistent with historical patterns for UN leadership transitions.