Trader consensus prices "Up" at 99.4% because the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election followed a 2023 repeat vote with unusually low 62.9% participation after the prior result was annulled. Structural changes expanded the eligible electorate to roughly 2.49 million through higher naturalizations and first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds, while pre-election polls showed a tight multi-party contest featuring strong Linke and AfD mobilization that typically boosts engagement. Midday reports already indicated participation running well ahead of 2023 levels at equivalent times. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include extreme weather on election day or unforeseen last-minute developments suppressing marginal voters, though official tallies ultimately confirmed turnout at 74.2%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUp
99% সম্ভাবনা
$2,760 Vol.
$2,760 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Up
99% সম্ভাবনা
$2,760 Vol.
$2,760 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Trader consensus prices "Up" at 99.4% because the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election followed a 2023 repeat vote with unusually low 62.9% participation after the prior result was annulled. Structural changes expanded the eligible electorate to roughly 2.49 million through higher naturalizations and first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds, while pre-election polls showed a tight multi-party contest featuring strong Linke and AfD mobilization that typically boosts engagement. Midday reports already indicated participation running well ahead of 2023 levels at equivalent times.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include extreme weather on election day or unforeseen last-minute developments suppressing marginal voters, though official tallies ultimately confirmed turnout at 74.2%.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,760শেষ তারিখ
Sep 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Trader consensus prices "Up" at 99.4% because the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election followed a 2023 repeat vote with unusually low 62.9% participation after the prior result was annulled. Structural changes expanded the eligible electorate to roughly 2.49 million through higher naturalizations and first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds, while pre-election polls showed a tight multi-party contest featuring strong Linke and AfD mobilization that typically boosts engagement. Midday reports already indicated participation running well ahead of 2023 levels at equivalent times.
Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include extreme weather on election day or unforeseen last-minute developments suppressing marginal voters, though official tallies ultimately confirmed turnout at 74.2%.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
ভলিউম
$2,760শেষ তারিখ
Sep 21, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Up" at 99.4% because the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election followed a 2023 repeat vote with unusually low 62.9% participation after the prior result was annulled. Structural changes expanded the eligible electorate to roughly 2.49 million through higher naturalizations and first-time voting by 16- and 17-year-olds, while pre-election polls showed a tight multi-party contest featuring strong Linke and AfD mobilization that typically boosts engagement. Midday reports already indicated participation running well ahead of 2023 levels at equivalent times. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome include extreme weather on election day or unforeseen last-minute developments suppressing marginal voters, though official tallies ultimately confirmed turnout at 74.2%.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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