Trader consensus heavily favors Google Gemini achieving 40%+ on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, with 92% implied probability on that outcome, driven by Gemini 3 Pro's recent record of 38% on Tiers 1–3 (300 expert-level math problems) and over 40% using Deep Think mode, surpassing prior leaders. Gemini 3.1 Pro matched these feats in February 2026 while solving a novel Tier 4 problem, signaling rapid advances in AI mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration. Amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (47.6% top score) and Anthropic's Claude, Google's aggressive iteration pace—bolstered by potential Google I/O announcements in May—fuels optimism, though benchmark contamination risks and eval protocol changes could introduce uncertainty.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGoogle Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$127,679 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
40%+
92%
45%+
34%
50%+
35%
60%+
17%
$127,679 Vol.
40%+
$30,444 Vol.
92%
45%+
$48,271 Vol.
34%
50%+
$18,709 Vol.
35%
60%+
$30,255 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors Google Gemini achieving 40%+ on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, with 92% implied probability on that outcome, driven by Gemini 3 Pro's recent record of 38% on Tiers 1–3 (300 expert-level math problems) and over 40% using Deep Think mode, surpassing prior leaders. Gemini 3.1 Pro matched these feats in February 2026 while solving a novel Tier 4 problem, signaling rapid advances in AI mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration. Amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (47.6% top score) and Anthropic's Claude, Google's aggressive iteration pace—bolstered by potential Google I/O announcements in May—fuels optimism, though benchmark contamination risks and eval protocol changes could introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
ভলিউম
$127,679শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors Google Gemini achieving 40%+ on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, with 92% implied probability on that outcome, driven by Gemini 3 Pro's recent record of 38% on Tiers 1–3 (300 expert-level math problems) and over 40% using Deep Think mode, surpassing prior leaders. Gemini 3.1 Pro matched these feats in February 2026 while solving a novel Tier 4 problem, signaling rapid advances in AI mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration. Amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (47.6% top score) and Anthropic's Claude, Google's aggressive iteration pace—bolstered by potential Google I/O announcements in May—fuels optimism, though benchmark contamination risks and eval protocol changes could introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$127,679শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors Google Gemini achieving 40%+ on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, with 92% implied probability on that outcome, driven by Gemini 3 Pro's recent record of 38% on Tiers 1–3 (300 expert-level math problems) and over 40% using Deep Think mode, surpassing prior leaders. Gemini 3.1 Pro matched these feats in February 2026 while solving a novel Tier 4 problem, signaling rapid advances in AI mathematical reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration. Amid fierce competition from OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (47.6% top score) and Anthropic's Claude, Google's aggressive iteration pace—bolstered by potential Google I/O announcements in May—fuels optimism, though benchmark contamination risks and eval protocol changes could introduce uncertainty.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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