Iran's Assembly of Experts appointed Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February U.S.-Israeli airstrikes that ignited regional conflict. Trader sentiment now hinges on unverified April intelligence reports—citing U.S. and Israeli sources—of Mojtaba's severe injuries, including facial disfigurement and possible leg loss from related strikes, with no public appearances since his ascension. Sources close to the regime claim he remains mentally sharp and governs remotely via audio, but his absence has elevated IRGC figures like Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, sparking power vacuum fears and speculation of further transitions amid ongoing war pressures and internal factional tensions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$9,237,708 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
৩০ এপ্রিল
4%
৩১ মে
9%
৩০ জুন
15%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
30%
$9,237,708 Vol.
৩০ এপ্রিল
$3,210,731 Vol.
4%
৩১ মে
$534,727 Vol.
9%
৩০ জুন
$475,001 Vol.
15%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
$1,786,328 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Assembly of Experts appointed Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February U.S.-Israeli airstrikes that ignited regional conflict. Trader sentiment now hinges on unverified April intelligence reports—citing U.S. and Israeli sources—of Mojtaba's severe injuries, including facial disfigurement and possible leg loss from related strikes, with no public appearances since his ascension. Sources close to the regime claim he remains mentally sharp and governs remotely via audio, but his absence has elevated IRGC figures like Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, sparking power vacuum fears and speculation of further transitions amid ongoing war pressures and internal factional tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
ভলিউম
$9,237,708শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Assembly of Experts appointed Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February U.S.-Israeli airstrikes that ignited regional conflict. Trader sentiment now hinges on unverified April intelligence reports—citing U.S. and Israeli sources—of Mojtaba's severe injuries, including facial disfigurement and possible leg loss from related strikes, with no public appearances since his ascension. Sources close to the regime claim he remains mentally sharp and governs remotely via audio, but his absence has elevated IRGC figures like Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, sparking power vacuum fears and speculation of further transitions amid ongoing war pressures and internal factional tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$9,237,708শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Assembly of Experts appointed Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February U.S.-Israeli airstrikes that ignited regional conflict. Trader sentiment now hinges on unverified April intelligence reports—citing U.S. and Israeli sources—of Mojtaba's severe injuries, including facial disfigurement and possible leg loss from related strikes, with no public appearances since his ascension. Sources close to the regime claim he remains mentally sharp and governs remotely via audio, but his absence has elevated IRGC figures like Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, sparking power vacuum fears and speculation of further transitions amid ongoing war pressures and internal factional tensions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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