Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering constitutional succession via an interim council of the president, judiciary chief, and a Guardian Council cleric. The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March, completing the transition. Since then, the new leader has issued decrees consolidating hard-line military and security figures in key posts, including IRGC and Basij roles, amid ongoing regional tensions and economic sanctions. These moves, coupled with limited public visibility of the new supreme leader and rejection of negotiations, have reinforced regime continuity. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments through late 2026 remain the main variables that could alter assessments of near-term further change.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$24,255,385 Vol.
August 31
<1%
September 30
3%
October 31
7%
November 30
11%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
17%
June 30, 2027
25%
$24,255,385 Vol.
August 31
<1%
September 30
3%
October 31
7%
November 30
11%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
17%
June 30, 2027
25%
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering constitutional succession via an interim council of the president, judiciary chief, and a Guardian Council cleric. The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March, completing the transition. Since then, the new leader has issued decrees consolidating hard-line military and security figures in key posts, including IRGC and Basij roles, amid ongoing regional tensions and economic sanctions. These moves, coupled with limited public visibility of the new supreme leader and rejection of negotiations, have reinforced regime continuity. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments through late 2026 remain the main variables that could alter assessments of near-term further change.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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