Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering constitutional succession via an interim council of the president, judiciary chief, and a Guardian Council cleric. The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March, completing the transition. Since then, the new leader has issued decrees consolidating hard-line military and security figures in key posts, including IRGC and Basij roles, amid ongoing regional tensions and economic sanctions. These moves, coupled with limited public visibility of the new supreme leader and rejection of negotiations, have reinforced regime continuity. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments through late 2026 remain the main variables that could alter assessments of near-term further change.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$24,255,385 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
<1%
September 30
3%
October 31
7%
November 30
11%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
17%
June 30, 2027
25%
$24,255,385 Vol.
August 31
$1,513,002 Vol.
<1%
September 30
$511,634 Vol.
3%
October 31
$30,625 Vol.
7%
November 30
$23,050 Vol.
11%
৩১ ডিসেম্বর
$4,236,502 Vol.
17%
June 30, 2027
$252,850 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering constitutional succession via an interim council of the president, judiciary chief, and a Guardian Council cleric. The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March, completing the transition. Since then, the new leader has issued decrees consolidating hard-line military and security figures in key posts, including IRGC and Basij roles, amid ongoing regional tensions and economic sanctions. These moves, coupled with limited public visibility of the new supreme leader and rejection of negotiations, have reinforced regime continuity. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments through late 2026 remain the main variables that could alter assessments of near-term further change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
ভলিউম
$24,255,385শেষ তারিখ
Jul 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering constitutional succession via an interim council of the president, judiciary chief, and a Guardian Council cleric. The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March, completing the transition. Since then, the new leader has issued decrees consolidating hard-line military and security figures in key posts, including IRGC and Basij roles, amid ongoing regional tensions and economic sanctions. These moves, coupled with limited public visibility of the new supreme leader and rejection of negotiations, have reinforced regime continuity. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments through late 2026 remain the main variables that could alter assessments of near-term further change.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$24,255,385শেষ তারিখ
Jul 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 21, 2026, 11:05 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering constitutional succession via an interim council of the president, judiciary chief, and a Guardian Council cleric. The Assembly of Experts elected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March, completing the transition. Since then, the new leader has issued decrees consolidating hard-line military and security figures in key posts, including IRGC and Basij roles, amid ongoing regional tensions and economic sanctions. These moves, coupled with limited public visibility of the new supreme leader and rejection of negotiations, have reinforced regime continuity. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments through late 2026 remain the main variables that could alter assessments of near-term further change.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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