Karmine Corp’s undefeated regular-season start has anchored trader consensus near even money, while G2 Esports remains within striking distance on the back of superior historical playoff execution and a strong power-ranking profile. With the top six advancing to a double-elimination bracket, mid-table volatility among Movistar KOI, Team Vitality, Natus Vincere, and GIANTX continues to compress probabilities for the two frontrunners. Recent form swings, roster stability questions, and the possibility of an upset run by any playoff qualifier keep implied probabilities clustered in the mid-40s to low-50s range for the leaders, reflecting the inherent variance of best-of-three and best-of-five series in a deep field.