The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour candidate Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor, against Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon in a contest shaped by national party dynamics and Burnham’s personal profile. Recent polling shows the two running neck-and-neck, with Burnham edging a narrow lead on named-candidate ballots while Reform holds an eleven-point advantage on generic Westminster voting intention; this “Burnham premium” keeps the race competitive and elevates Kenyon’s implied probability of finishing second. Scrutiny over Kenyon’s deleted social-media posts has dominated recent coverage, though Reform has defended the candidate and voters appear focused on local representation versus Burnham’s broader profile. Minor-party contenders such as Rebecca Shepherd trail significantly, reflecting limited support beyond the two frontrunners. Trader consensus on second place therefore centers on Kenyon’s local strength and the likelihood that Burnham secures first.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRobert Kenyon 71%
Andy Burnham 22%
Rebecca Shepherd 9%
John Skipworth <1%
$11,794 Vol.
$11,794 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
Robert Kenyon
71%
Andy Burnham
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
9%
John Skipworth
1%
James Thomas Bryer
1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
Robert Kenyon 71%
Andy Burnham 22%
Rebecca Shepherd 9%
John Skipworth <1%
$11,794 Vol.
$11,794 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
Robert Kenyon
$1,048 Vol.
71%
Andy Burnham
$718 Vol.
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
$7,832 Vol.
9%
John Skipworth
$381 Vol.
1%
James Thomas Bryer
$456 Vol.
1%
Simon Finkelstein
$851 Vol.
<1%
Maria Deery
$508 Vol.
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour candidate Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor, against Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon in a contest shaped by national party dynamics and Burnham’s personal profile. Recent polling shows the two running neck-and-neck, with Burnham edging a narrow lead on named-candidate ballots while Reform holds an eleven-point advantage on generic Westminster voting intention; this “Burnham premium” keeps the race competitive and elevates Kenyon’s implied probability of finishing second. Scrutiny over Kenyon’s deleted social-media posts has dominated recent coverage, though Reform has defended the candidate and voters appear focused on local representation versus Burnham’s broader profile. Minor-party contenders such as Rebecca Shepherd trail significantly, reflecting limited support beyond the two frontrunners. Trader consensus on second place therefore centers on Kenyon’s local strength and the likelihood that Burnham secures first.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
ভলিউম
$11,794শেষ তারিখ
Jun 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour candidate Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor, against Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon in a contest shaped by national party dynamics and Burnham’s personal profile. Recent polling shows the two running neck-and-neck, with Burnham edging a narrow lead on named-candidate ballots while Reform holds an eleven-point advantage on generic Westminster voting intention; this “Burnham premium” keeps the race competitive and elevates Kenyon’s implied probability of finishing second. Scrutiny over Kenyon’s deleted social-media posts has dominated recent coverage, though Reform has defended the candidate and voters appear focused on local representation versus Burnham’s broader profile. Minor-party contenders such as Rebecca Shepherd trail significantly, reflecting limited support beyond the two frontrunners. Trader consensus on second place therefore centers on Kenyon’s local strength and the likelihood that Burnham secures first.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
ভলিউম
$11,794শেষ তারিখ
Jun 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Makerfield by-election on 18 June pits Labour candidate Andy Burnham, the Greater Manchester mayor, against Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon in a contest shaped by national party dynamics and Burnham’s personal profile. Recent polling shows the two running neck-and-neck, with Burnham edging a narrow lead on named-candidate ballots while Reform holds an eleven-point advantage on generic Westminster voting intention; this “Burnham premium” keeps the race competitive and elevates Kenyon’s implied probability of finishing second. Scrutiny over Kenyon’s deleted social-media posts has dominated recent coverage, though Reform has defended the candidate and voters appear focused on local representation versus Burnham’s broader profile. Minor-party contenders such as Rebecca Shepherd trail significantly, reflecting limited support beyond the two frontrunners. Trader consensus on second place therefore centers on Kenyon’s local strength and the likelihood that Burnham secures first.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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