SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a June 2026 IPO, with market-implied odds peaking at 38% for a $1.5-2.0 trillion closing market cap, reflecting reported targets of $1.75 trillion initially raised above $2 trillion amid Starlink's explosive satellite broadband growth and the February xAI merger enhancing AI-driven space ambitions. Secondary share sales valued the company at $1.21 trillion as of April 17, underscoring robust private demand, while Starship reusability milestones bolster long-term projections. Traders price in execution risks like regulatory hurdles for Starlink expansion and volatile public market reception, with a June 8 roadshow and mid-June pricing as key catalysts that could swing outcomes toward higher brackets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$1,834,617 Vol.
$1,834,617 Vol.
<১.০টি
5%
১.০টি-১.৫টি
6%
১.৫টি-২.০টি
38%
২.০ ট্রিলিয়ন-২.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন
23%
২.৫টি-৩.০টি
11%
৩.০টি-৩.৫টি
12%
৩.৫টি+
2%
২০২৮ সালের আগে কোনো আইপিও নয়
3%
$1,834,617 Vol.
$1,834,617 Vol.
<১.০টি
5%
১.০টি-১.৫টি
6%
১.৫টি-২.০টি
38%
২.০ ট্রিলিয়ন-২.৫ ট্রিলিয়ন
23%
২.৫টি-৩.০টি
11%
৩.০টি-৩.৫টি
12%
৩.৫টি+
2%
২০২৮ সালের আগে কোনো আইপিও নয়
3%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 has propelled trader consensus toward a June 2026 IPO, with market-implied odds peaking at 38% for a $1.5-2.0 trillion closing market cap, reflecting reported targets of $1.75 trillion initially raised above $2 trillion amid Starlink's explosive satellite broadband growth and the February xAI merger enhancing AI-driven space ambitions. Secondary share sales valued the company at $1.21 trillion as of April 17, underscoring robust private demand, while Starship reusability milestones bolster long-term projections. Traders price in execution risks like regulatory hurdles for Starlink expansion and volatile public market reception, with a June 8 roadshow and mid-June pricing as key catalysts that could swing outcomes toward higher brackets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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