**One Nation leads the market at 68% for third place on primary votes in the November 28, 2026 Victorian state election.** Recent polling averages show the party holding steady primary support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range, well ahead of the Greens (around 12-14%) and other minor parties, while Labor and the Liberal-National Coalition trade the top two spots near 25-30% each. This positioning reflects One Nation’s consistent strength in regional and outer-suburban electorates, where its vote has risen sharply since 2022 amid voter shifts away from the major parties. Leadership transitions in Labor (Ben Carroll replacing Jacinta Allan in late July) and One Nation (Warren Pickering in early August) have not materially altered these primary vote patterns in August surveys. The Greens remain the clearest alternative for third but trail significantly in current data, while smaller parties such as Legalise Cannabis or Animal Justice register negligible statewide shares. Traders price these probabilities in line with the observed primary vote distribution and limited movement in recent weeks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডVictoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
One Nation 68%
Greens 13.9%
Labor 4.9%
Liberal–National <1%
$18,607 Vol.
$18,607 Vol.
Nov 28, 2026
One Nation
68%
Greens
14%
Labor
5%
Liberal–National
<1%
Legalise Cannabis
<1%
Animal Justice
<1%
Libertarian
<1%
Shooters, Fishers, Farmers
<1%
One Nation 68%
Greens 13.9%
Labor 4.9%
Liberal–National <1%
$18,607 Vol.
$18,607 Vol.
Nov 28, 2026
One Nation
$6,196 Vol.
68%
Greens
$163 Vol.
14%
Labor
$6,507 Vol.
5%
Liberal–National
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
Legalise Cannabis
$1,312 Vol.
<1%
Animal Justice
$917 Vol.
<1%
Libertarian
$1,347 Vol.
<1%
Shooters, Fishers, Farmers
$914 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).**One Nation leads the market at 68% for third place on primary votes in the November 28, 2026 Victorian state election.** Recent polling averages show the party holding steady primary support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range, well ahead of the Greens (around 12-14%) and other minor parties, while Labor and the Liberal-National Coalition trade the top two spots near 25-30% each. This positioning reflects One Nation’s consistent strength in regional and outer-suburban electorates, where its vote has risen sharply since 2022 amid voter shifts away from the major parties. Leadership transitions in Labor (Ben Carroll replacing Jacinta Allan in late July) and One Nation (Warren Pickering in early August) have not materially altered these primary vote patterns in August surveys. The Greens remain the clearest alternative for third but trail significantly in current data, while smaller parties such as Legalise Cannabis or Animal Justice register negligible statewide shares. Traders price these probabilities in line with the observed primary vote distribution and limited movement in recent weeks.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ET
ভলিউম
$18,607শেষ তারিখ
Nov 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).**One Nation leads the market at 68% for third place on primary votes in the November 28, 2026 Victorian state election.** Recent polling averages show the party holding steady primary support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range, well ahead of the Greens (around 12-14%) and other minor parties, while Labor and the Liberal-National Coalition trade the top two spots near 25-30% each. This positioning reflects One Nation’s consistent strength in regional and outer-suburban electorates, where its vote has risen sharply since 2022 amid voter shifts away from the major parties. Leadership transitions in Labor (Ben Carroll replacing Jacinta Allan in late July) and One Nation (Warren Pickering in early August) have not materially altered these primary vote patterns in August surveys. The Greens remain the clearest alternative for third but trail significantly in current data, while smaller parties such as Legalise Cannabis or Animal Justice register negligible statewide shares. Traders price these probabilities in line with the observed primary vote distribution and limited movement in recent weeks.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
ভলিউম
$18,607শেষ তারিখ
Nov 28, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**One Nation leads the market at 68% for third place on primary votes in the November 28, 2026 Victorian state election.** Recent polling averages show the party holding steady primary support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range, well ahead of the Greens (around 12-14%) and other minor parties, while Labor and the Liberal-National Coalition trade the top two spots near 25-30% each. This positioning reflects One Nation’s consistent strength in regional and outer-suburban electorates, where its vote has risen sharply since 2022 amid voter shifts away from the major parties. Leadership transitions in Labor (Ben Carroll replacing Jacinta Allan in late July) and One Nation (Warren Pickering in early August) have not materially altered these primary vote patterns in August surveys. The Greens remain the clearest alternative for third but trail significantly in current data, while smaller parties such as Legalise Cannabis or Animal Justice register negligible statewide shares. Traders price these probabilities in line with the observed primary vote distribution and limited movement in recent weeks.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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