**Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability** due to record-setting advance ticket sales exceeding $50 million domestically by early September 2026—far outpacing prior MCU benchmarks—and aggressive tracking for a $260–300 million domestic opening weekend on December 18. The December holiday slot, combined with the first trailer’s massive viewership and MCU crossover hype involving Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, positions it as a potential all-time box office event that could eclipse Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s July record of roughly $360 million. Spider-Man’s already-completed run accounts for its 36.5% share, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November) and Dune: Messiah (same December weekend) register minimal odds given more modest franchise expectations and direct competition. Upcoming catalysts include final pre-sale momentum and any late marketing surges before the December lock.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$172,027 Vol.
$172,027 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$172,027 Vol.
$172,027 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$76,320 Vol.
64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$62,771 Vol.
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability** due to record-setting advance ticket sales exceeding $50 million domestically by early September 2026—far outpacing prior MCU benchmarks—and aggressive tracking for a $260–300 million domestic opening weekend on December 18. The December holiday slot, combined with the first trailer’s massive viewership and MCU crossover hype involving Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, positions it as a potential all-time box office event that could eclipse Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s July record of roughly $360 million. Spider-Man’s already-completed run accounts for its 36.5% share, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November) and Dune: Messiah (same December weekend) register minimal odds given more modest franchise expectations and direct competition. Upcoming catalysts include final pre-sale momentum and any late marketing surges before the December lock.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
ভলিউম
$172,027শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability** due to record-setting advance ticket sales exceeding $50 million domestically by early September 2026—far outpacing prior MCU benchmarks—and aggressive tracking for a $260–300 million domestic opening weekend on December 18. The December holiday slot, combined with the first trailer’s massive viewership and MCU crossover hype involving Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, positions it as a potential all-time box office event that could eclipse Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s July record of roughly $360 million. Spider-Man’s already-completed run accounts for its 36.5% share, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November) and Dune: Messiah (same December weekend) register minimal odds given more modest franchise expectations and direct competition. Upcoming catalysts include final pre-sale momentum and any late marketing surges before the December lock.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ভলিউম
$172,027শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability** due to record-setting advance ticket sales exceeding $50 million domestically by early September 2026—far outpacing prior MCU benchmarks—and aggressive tracking for a $260–300 million domestic opening weekend on December 18. The December holiday slot, combined with the first trailer’s massive viewership and MCU crossover hype involving Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, positions it as a potential all-time box office event that could eclipse Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s July record of roughly $360 million. Spider-Man’s already-completed run accounts for its 36.5% share, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November) and Dune: Messiah (same December weekend) register minimal odds given more modest franchise expectations and direct competition. Upcoming catalysts include final pre-sale momentum and any late marketing surges before the December lock.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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