Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 64.5% implied probability to IPO before OpenAI, driven by the AI lab's accelerated preparations—including hiring IPO lawyers like Wilson Sonsini and bankers projecting a $60 billion raise at a $380 billion valuation as early as October 2026—contrasting OpenAI's internal leadership rift, where CFO Sarah Friar has flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive late-2026 timeline as risky amid $121 billion projected compute spending by 2028. Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run rate, enterprise market share gains to 30.6%, and path to nearer-term profitability have fueled recent private market strength, positioning it to set public multiples first. Watch for S-1 filings or further financial disclosures as key catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
$52,645 Vol.
$52,645 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
$52,645 Vol.
$52,645 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 64.5% implied probability to IPO before OpenAI, driven by the AI lab's accelerated preparations—including hiring IPO lawyers like Wilson Sonsini and bankers projecting a $60 billion raise at a $380 billion valuation as early as October 2026—contrasting OpenAI's internal leadership rift, where CFO Sarah Friar has flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive late-2026 timeline as risky amid $121 billion projected compute spending by 2028. Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run rate, enterprise market share gains to 30.6%, and path to nearer-term profitability have fueled recent private market strength, positioning it to set public multiples first. Watch for S-1 filings or further financial disclosures as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$52,645শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 64.5% implied probability to IPO before OpenAI, driven by the AI lab's accelerated preparations—including hiring IPO lawyers like Wilson Sonsini and bankers projecting a $60 billion raise at a $380 billion valuation as early as October 2026—contrasting OpenAI's internal leadership rift, where CFO Sarah Friar has flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive late-2026 timeline as risky amid $121 billion projected compute spending by 2028. Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run rate, enterprise market share gains to 30.6%, and path to nearer-term profitability have fueled recent private market strength, positioning it to set public multiples first. Watch for S-1 filings or further financial disclosures as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$52,645শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 64.5% implied probability to IPO before OpenAI, driven by the AI lab's accelerated preparations—including hiring IPO lawyers like Wilson Sonsini and bankers projecting a $60 billion raise at a $380 billion valuation as early as October 2026—contrasting OpenAI's internal leadership rift, where CFO Sarah Friar has flagged CEO Sam Altman's aggressive late-2026 timeline as risky amid $121 billion projected compute spending by 2028. Anthropic's explosive revenue growth to $30 billion annualized run rate, enterprise market share gains to 30.6%, and path to nearer-term profitability have fueled recent private market strength, positioning it to set public multiples first. Watch for S-1 filings or further financial disclosures as key catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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