Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent reports of a late-September prospectus release followed by mid-October marketing, underpin the 96.9% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation on strong Claude model revenue growth, positioning it for a Nasdaq debut possibly before November midterms. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not progressed to public steps, with internal discussions favoring a 2027 timeline to secure a $1 trillion valuation amid post-SpaceX market caution. Trader consensus reflects these verified timelines, though delays from regulatory reviews, shifting market conditions, or sudden acceleration by OpenAI remain plausible swing factors in the large language model sector.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
$336,690 Vol.
$336,690 Vol.
Anthropic
$336,690 Vol.
$336,690 Vol.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's advanced IPO preparations, including a June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and recent reports of a late-September prospectus release followed by mid-October marketing, underpin the 96.9% market-implied probability it lists before OpenAI. The company is finalizing a $15 billion credit facility and targeting a potential $2 trillion valuation on strong Claude model revenue growth, positioning it for a Nasdaq debut possibly before November midterms. In contrast, OpenAI's June filing has not progressed to public steps, with internal discussions favoring a 2027 timeline to secure a $1 trillion valuation amid post-SpaceX market caution. Trader consensus reflects these verified timelines, though delays from regulatory reviews, shifting market conditions, or sudden acceleration by OpenAI remain plausible swing factors in the large language model sector.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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