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This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for April 7 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win the match against Yellow Submarine.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against Nemiga Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. 

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

In European Pro League Season 36 Group A round-robin, Nemiga Gaming holds second place with a 3-1 record (7-3 maps), rebounding from a 1-2 loss to undefeated leaders Team Lynx via 2-0 sweeps over NAVI Junior and Ilbirs eSports, showcasing selfhate's strong carry play (5.82 KDA). Yellow Submarine sits third at 2-0 (4-0 maps) with clean wins against the same opponents, leveraging their March 2026 roster overhaul—Shigetsu, Rain, Batyuk, not me, and Xakoda—under patch 7.41a. Head-to-head tilts slightly to Yellow Submarine (4-2-2 in eight prior BO3s), but Nemiga's extra matches provide battle-testing ahead of this key group stage clash.

This market is about whether Game 2 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Ends in Daytime

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine each kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 2.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Both Teams Beat Roshan

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 2. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine each destroy at least one enemy barracks (melee or ranged) during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) do not destroy any enemy barracks.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams destroyed at least one barracks prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 2. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Any Player Ultra Kill

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 2. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Any Player Rampage

Match Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for April 7 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win Game 1 against Yellow Submarine.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win Game 1 against Nemiga Gaming.

If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. 

If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for April 7 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win Game 2 against Yellow Submarine.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win Game 2 against Nemiga Gaming.

If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. 

If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. 

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Game 2 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for April 7 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Over" if Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine play 3 or more games in this series.

If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under".

Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed.

If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

O/U 2.5 Games

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine in the European Pro League Group A, initially scheduled for April 7 at 2:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine wins 2 or more games than Nemiga Gaming in this match.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming". 

Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.

If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine each kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 1.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 1. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine each destroy at least one enemy barracks (melee or ranged) during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) do not destroy any enemy barracks.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams destroyed at least one barracks prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 1. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether Game 3 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the game-ending action (Ancient destruction or midgame forfeit) occurs during a daytime phase of the base in-game clock. This market will resolve to "No" if the game ends during a nighttime phase. Temporary nighttime effects caused by hero abilities (e.g., Night Stalker's Dark Ascension) do not affect resolution, only the base day/night cycle timer is considered.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine each kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 3.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy barracks during Game 3. In Dota 2, each team has six barracks (a melee and ranged barracks in each of the three lanes), located behind the Tier 3 towers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Nemiga Gaming and Yellow Submarine each destroy at least one enemy barracks (melee or ranged) during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) do not destroy any enemy barracks.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams destroyed at least one barracks prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves an Ultra Kill. A Rampage (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as an Ultra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether an Ultra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Ultra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 3. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No".

If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Dota 2

Nemiga Gaming

Yellow Submarine

Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Gruppe A

Je niedriger, desto besser. Brier-Scores zeigen, wie genau Prognosen wirklich sind – nicht nur, ob sie richtig waren, sondern auch, wie nah die Prognose an der Realität lag.

Brier-Score vs. Volumen

Polymarket-Vorhersagen stimmen in allen Wahrscheinlichkeitsbereichen ziemlich genau mit den tatsächlichen Ergebnissen überein.

Erwartet vs. Tatsächlich

Häufig gestellte Fragen

Alle Kennzahlen werden aus abgewickelten Polymarkets berechnet, wobei Preis-Snapshots verwendet werden, die 1 Monat, 1 Woche, 1 Tag, 12 Stunden und 4 Stunden vor der Abwicklung gemacht wurden. Die Genauigkeit zeigt, wie oft das endgültige führende Ergebnis mit der Realität übereinstimmte, und die Brier-Werte messen den durchschnittlichen quadratischen Fehler der Prognosen.

Methoden

Wie genau ist Polymarket?

Zeigt, wie genau die Polymarket-Quoten zu verschiedenen Zeitpunkten vor der Abwicklung waren.

Genauigkeit vor der Abwicklung

Zeigt den Prozent-Anteil aller Polymarkets, die mit „Ja” oder „Nein” abgewickelt wurden.

Zusammensetzung der Abwicklung

Aktivität

Token-Ausgaben für den Handel genehmigen

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Signieren Sie eine Nachricht, um Ihre API-Schlüssel zu generieren

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Was wird die Fed bei den kommenden Sitzungen machen?

Überblick über die Grammy Awards, ihre Geschichte und Verbindung zu Polymarket-Vorhersagen.

Über die Grammys

Das Album des Jahres ist das Kronjuwel der Grammys und ehrt ein komplettes Werk statt nur eines Songs. Seit 1959 verliehen, geht es an den Künstler, Produzenten, Songwriter, Toningenieure und Mixer, die maßgeblich beigetragen haben. Es geht nicht um Verkäufe oder Charts; es ist reine künstlerische Exzellenz in allen Genres. Denken Sie an Taylor Swifts "Midnights", Lauryn Hills "The Miseducation of Lauryn Hill" oder Stevie Wonders Klassiker; Gewinner definieren oft Epochen. Alben benötigen mindestens fünf Tracks und 15 Minuten oder insgesamt 30 Minuten, um sich zu qualifizieren. Es ist ein Teamleistungspreis, der die Magie eines zusammenhängenden Projekts feiert, das die Musik vorantreibt. Auf Polymarket schwanken die Quoten für das Album des Jahres, während der Hype für Grammy-Nominierungen wie "Debí Tirar Más Fotos" von Bad Bunny und "GNX" von Kendrick Lamar steigt.

Album des Jahres

Der beste neue Künstler strahlt auf aufstrebende Stars, die im Berechtigungsjahr durchgebrochen sind. Seit 1959 ist es für Performer, die ihr erstes großes Werk veröffentlicht und einen kulturellen Einfluss gehabt haben, nicht nur einen Hit. Gewinner wie Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan oder Sam Smith starten oft massive Karrieren. Berechtigung: Nur Erstnominierungen für diese Kategorie und ein Durchbruch, der die Szene neu gestaltet. Gruppen qualifizieren sich auch, wie es die Beatles einst taten. Es geht um frisches Talent, das die Musik aufrüttelt. Polymarket-Quoten zu Grammy-Nominierten für die Kategorie Bester neuer Künstler spiegeln Hype und Schwung auf aufstrebende Stimmen wie Olivia Dean und Leon Thomas wider.

Bester neuer Künstler

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Grammy 2026 Quoten

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Grammy-Vorhersagen & Quoten (2026) | Polymarket

Die Aufnahme des Jahres rückt einen herausragenden Track in den Fokus und belohnt die Magie der Performance und Produktion dahinter. Im Gegensatz zum Album des Jahres geht es hier nur um einen Song, der an den Künstler, Produzenten, Toningenieure und Mixer geht, die die Aufnahme perfektioniert haben. Seit den ersten Grammys 1959 existierend, konzentriert es sich auf technische Brillanz und Gesamtvibe, nicht nur auf Texte. Klassiker wie Billie Eilishs "What Was I Made For?", Whitney Houstons "I Will Always Love You" oder Michael Jacksons "Beat It" haben gewonnen und verbinden Kunst mit Studio-Magie. Keine Verkäufe erforderlich, nur Exzellenz. Es unterscheidet sich vom Song des Jahres, indem es den vollen Klang ehrt, nicht nur die Komposition. Polymarket ermöglicht es Ihnen, auf Grammy-Nominierungen und Vorhersagen für die Aufnahme des Jahres wie "DTMF" von Bad Bunny, "Luther" von Kendrick Lamar & SZA und "Manchild" von Sabrina Carpenter zu wetten. Wird ein viraler Hit oder eine emotionale Ballade die Konkurrenz schlagen?

Aufnahme des Jahres

Der Song des Jahres dreht sich ganz um das Handwerk des Schreibens: Melodie, Texte und dieser Hook, den man nicht vergessen kann. Seit 1959 verliehen, geht er direkt an den Songwriter(s), nicht an den Performer oder Produzenten. Es ist für einen einzelnen Track, der den Geist des Jahres einfängt, unabhängig vom Genre. Denken Sie an Adeles "Hello", Beyoncés "Single Ladies (Put a Ring on It)", "Royals" von Lorde oder Ed Sheerans "Thinking Out Loud". Diese Songs werden oft zu zeitlosen Hymnen. Songs müssen neu oder neu prominent sein, mit Worten und Musik. Es unterscheidet sich von der Aufnahme des Jahres, die die Aufnahme selbst feiert. Auf Polymarket verfolgen Sie sich ändernde Quoten zu Grammy-Nominierungen für den Song des Jahres wie "Golden" von Ejae & Mark Sonnenblick und Songwriter Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami und "Abracadabra" von Lady Gaga, Henry Walter & Andrew Watt. Es ist eine Anerkennung für die unbesungenen Helden hinter den Hits.

Song des Jahres

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Überblick über die Academy Awards, ihre Geschichte und Verbindung zu Polymarket-Vorhersagen.

Über die Oscars

Das Rennen um den Besten Hauptdarsteller 2026 bietet fünf Performances, die generationsübergreifendes Talent und verschiedene Genres umfassen. Timothée Chalamet liefert eine physisch engagierte, voll und ganz verkörperte Darstellung als exzentrisches Tischtennis-Wunderkind in Josh Safdies Marty Supreme. Leonardo DiCaprio bringt Verletzlichkeit in die Rolle eines gequälten Künstlers in Paul Thomas Andersons One Battle After Another, während Michael B. Jordan beherrschende Körperlichkeit und emotionale Entschlossenheit in Ryan Cooglers Sinners kanalisiert. Wagner Moura bringt gebündelte Spannung in seine Rolle in The Secret Agent, und Ethan Hawke liefert stille Intensität als Musiker in Blue Moon. Es ist eine Kategorie, in der Jugend und Erfahrung aufeinanderprallen, wobei jeder Nominierte eine eigene Vision davon bietet, wie eine transformative Hauptdarstellung aussehen kann, da die Zeremonie am 15. März morgen stattfindet.

Bester Hauptdarsteller

Die Kategorie Beste Hauptdarstellerin 2026 hebt Bandbreite und emotionale Furchtlosigkeit in fünf beeindruckenden Performances hervor. Jessie Buckley liefert eine zutiefst kraftvolle Darstellung mütterlicher Trauer in Chloé Zhaos Hamnet, während Rose Byrne scharfes komisches Timing in die dunkel lustige If I Had Legs I'd Kick You einbringt. Emma Stone bietet eine weitere exzentrische, magnetische Darbietung in Yorgos Lanthimos' Bugonia, und Renate Reinsve erforscht Selbsterneuerung mit Subtilität in Joachim Triers Sentimental Value. Kate Hudson kanalisiert rohe Leidenschaft in Song Sung Blue. Es ist eine Auswahl, die Darstellerinnen belohnt, die in ihren Rollen verschwinden, wobei jede Nominierte einen ausgeprägt persönlichen Ansatz zu komplexen, vielschichtigen Charakteren mitbringt, da die Zeremonie am 15. März morgen stattfindet.

Beste Hauptdarstellerin

Das Feld Beste Regie bei den Oscars 2026 präsentiert eine vielfältige Auswahl von Filmemachern, die über verschiedene Töne und Traditionen hinweg arbeiten. Paul Thomas Anderson ist für One Battle After Another nominiert und bringt seine typische vielschichtige Charakterarbeit mit. Ryan Cooglers Sinners verbindet kraftvolles Action-Kino mit sozialem Kommentar, während Josh Safdie frenetische Energie in Marty Supreme einbringt und auf dem kontrollierten Chaos aufbaut, das Uncut Gems definierte. Joachim Triers Sentimental Value liefert introspektives, ausgeprägt nordisches Storytelling. Chloé Zhao rundet die Kategorie mit Hamnet ab und bringt ihren naturalistischen, einfühlsamen Blick in die Auswahl ein. Es ist eine Kategorie, die mutige Vision belohnt — und jeder Nominierte bringt eine eigene filmische Stimme mit, da die Zeremonie am 15. März morgen stattfindet.

Beste Regie

Die Kategorie Bestes Originaldrehbuch bei den Oscars 2026 belohnt Drehbücher, die frisches narratives Terrain erschließen, ohne auf Quellenmaterial zurückzugreifen. Ryan Cooglers Sinners verwebt Themen von Gerechtigkeit und Identität in eine straff konstruierte Erzählung, während Ronald Bronsteins und Josh Safdies Marty Supreme mit skurrilem Witz und rastloser Energie knistert. Eskil Vogts und Joachim Triers Sentimental Value bietet eine philosophische Erkundung von Intimität, und Jafar Panahis It Was Just an Accident untersucht Schicksal und Politik mit charakteristischer moralischer Präzision. Robert Kaplows Blue Moon bringt eine lyrische Sensibilität in sein Porträt der Welt eines Musikers. Es ist eine Kategorie, die die erfindungsreichsten Stimmen des Kinos ins Rampenlicht stellt — und das diesjährige Feld ist besonders stark, da die Zeremonie am 15. März morgen stattfindet.

Bestes Originaldrehbuch

Das Rennen um den Besten Film bei den Oscars 2026 bietet eine genreübergreifende Auswahl von 10 Nominierten, wobei Ryan Cooglers Sinners insgesamt rekordverdächtige 16 Nominierungen erhielt. Paul Thomas Andersons One Battle After Another und Ryan Cooglers Sinners mit Michael B. Jordan bringen unterschiedliche Visionen von charaktergetriebenem Storytelling. Chloé Zhaos Hamnet, mit Steven Spielberg unter seinen Produzenten, bietet eine poetische Meditation über Trauer und Kreativität, während Josh Safdies Marty Supreme scharfe Indie-Energie durch Timothée Chalamets Darstellung eines exzentrischen Tischtennis-Wunderkinds kanalisiert. Joachim Triers Sentimental Value, Guillermo del Toros Frankenstein, Yorgos Lanthimos' Bugonia — mit Emma Stone — Joseph Kosinskis F1 mit Brad Pitt, Kleber Mendonça Filhos The Secret Agent und Train Dreams bringen jeweils Auteur-Ambitionen oder publikumswirksames Spektakel auf die Liste. Es ist ein Feld, das Spektakel mit Substanz ausbalanciert und den Appetit der Academy sowohl auf mutige persönliche Filmkunst als auch auf publikumswirksame Erzählungen widerspiegelt, da die Zeremonie am 15. März morgen stattfindet.

Bester Film

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Oscar 2026 Quoten

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Oscar-Vorhersagen & Quoten (2026) | Polymarket

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