Trader consensus favors Arizona at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament after its dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, showcasing elite offensive firepower and depth as the No. 1 West seed facing Purdue in today's Elite Eight. Michigan (23.5%) and Duke (21.5%), both No. 1 seeds, trail closely following convincing wins over Alabama (90-77) and St. John's (80-75), respectively, with their balanced rosters and tournament experience fueling the tight race among top contenders. Illinois (12%) gained traction upsetting No. 2 Houston, highlighting Big Ten strength alongside Purdue and Iowa, while UConn's gritty 67-63 edge over Michigan State keeps lower seeds viable in this volatile single-elimination format heading to the Final Four.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertArizona 27.1%
Michigan 24%
Duke 22%
Illinois 12.1%
$22,111,078 Vol.
$22,111,078 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
24%
Duke
22%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
6%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
2%
Iowa
1%
Arizona 27.1%
Michigan 24%
Duke 22%
Illinois 12.1%
$22,111,078 Vol.
$22,111,078 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
24%
Duke
22%
Illinois
12%
Connecticut
6%
Purdue
5%
Tennessee
2%
Iowa
1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus favors Arizona at 27% implied probability to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament after its dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, showcasing elite offensive firepower and depth as the No. 1 West seed facing Purdue in today's Elite Eight. Michigan (23.5%) and Duke (21.5%), both No. 1 seeds, trail closely following convincing wins over Alabama (90-77) and St. John's (80-75), respectively, with their balanced rosters and tournament experience fueling the tight race among top contenders. Illinois (12%) gained traction upsetting No. 2 Houston, highlighting Big Ten strength alongside Purdue and Iowa, while UConn's gritty 67-63 edge over Michigan State keeps lower seeds viable in this volatile single-elimination format heading to the Final Four.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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