Sindarov’s commanding, unbeaten victory in the 2026 Candidates Tournament, where he clinched first place with a round to spare, has established him as the clear market leader at 69.5% implied probability. The Uzbek grandmaster’s recent classical results, including strong showings at the Sinquefield Cup and rapid ascent to world No. 4-5 live rating, reflect superior current form and momentum heading into the November-December Geneva match. Gukesh, the defending champion at 30.5%, enters with documented struggles across 2026 events, including multiple subpar classical finishes that have lowered his rating and raised questions about mental recovery. Trader pricing reflects Sindarov’s edge in recent head-to-head classical encounters and overall trajectory while acknowledging the inherent variance in a best-of-14 title match between two young elite players.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
$64,381 Vol.
$64,381 Vol.
Javokhir Sindarov
70%
Gukesh Dommaraju
31%
$64,381 Vol.
$64,381 Vol.
Javokhir Sindarov
70%
Gukesh Dommaraju
31%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Sindarov’s commanding, unbeaten victory in the 2026 Candidates Tournament, where he clinched first place with a round to spare, has established him as the clear market leader at 69.5% implied probability. The Uzbek grandmaster’s recent classical results, including strong showings at the Sinquefield Cup and rapid ascent to world No. 4-5 live rating, reflect superior current form and momentum heading into the November-December Geneva match. Gukesh, the defending champion at 30.5%, enters with documented struggles across 2026 events, including multiple subpar classical finishes that have lowered his rating and raised questions about mental recovery. Trader pricing reflects Sindarov’s edge in recent head-to-head classical encounters and overall trajectory while acknowledging the inherent variance in a best-of-14 title match between two young elite players.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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