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Politik·Wahl

Alaska Senat und Gouverneur Combo

icon for Alaska Senat und Gouverneur Combo
Politik·Wahl

Alaska Senat und Gouverneur Combo

Demokraten gewinnen alle 35%

Reps fegen 32%

Republikaner gewinnen Gouverneur, Demokraten gewinnen Senat 20%

Dems gewinnen Gouverneur, Reps gewinnen Senat 18%

Polymarket
NEU

Demokraten gewinnen alle 35%

Reps fegen 32%

Republikaner gewinnen Gouverneur, Demokraten gewinnen Senat 20%

Dems gewinnen Gouverneur, Reps gewinnen Senat 18%

Polymarket
NEU

Demokraten gewinnen alle

$75 Vol.

35%

Reps fegen

$0 Vol.

32%

Republikaner gewinnen Gouverneur, Demokraten gewinnen Senat

$0 Vol.

20%

Dems gewinnen Gouverneur, Reps gewinnen Senat

$20 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial contest and tight U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola drive the elevated "Other" outcome at 50 percent, as traders price in a fragmented field of 17 governor candidates ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and ranked-choice general election. Recent polls show Peltola edging Sullivan in some surveys while others give the Republican a narrow lead, keeping party sweeps competitive but not dominant at 35 percent for Democrats and 31.5 percent for Republicans. The open governor seat, with no incumbent advantage and multiple viable contenders across parties, increases the likelihood of split results such as a Republican governor paired with a Democratic senator or vice versa. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds in assigning higher probability to mixed or non-major-party outcomes than to unified partisan control.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$95
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial contest and tight U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola drive the elevated "Other" outcome at 50 percent, as traders price in a fragmented field of 17 governor candidates ahead of the August 18 top-four primary and ranked-choice general election. Recent polls show Peltola edging Sullivan in some surveys while others give the Republican a narrow lead, keeping party sweeps competitive but not dominant at 35 percent for Democrats and 31.5 percent for Republicans. The open governor seat, with no incumbent advantage and multiple viable contenders across parties, increases the likelihood of split results such as a Republican governor paired with a Democratic senator or vice versa. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds in assigning higher probability to mixed or non-major-party outcomes than to unified partisan control.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$95
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Verwandte

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Werden die Demokraten die Senats- und Gouverneurswahlen in Maine gewinnen?

62%
Ja
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Werden die Demokraten die Senats- und Gouverneurswahlen in Michigan komplett gewinnen?

56%
Ja
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42%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Alaska Senat und Gouverneur Combo" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Demokraten gewinnen alle" mit 35%, gefolgt von „Reps fegen" mit 32%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 35¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Alaska Senat und Gouverneur Combo" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 11, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Alaska Senat und Gouverneur Combo" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Alaska Senat und Gouverneur Combo" ist „Demokraten gewinnen alle" mit 35%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Reps fegen" mit 32%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Alaska Senat und Gouverneur Combo" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.