Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHarry Kane 40.9%
Lamine Yamal 27.1%
Kylian Mbappé 11.6%
Rodri 12%
$19,433,588 Vol.
$19,433,588 Vol.
Harry Kane
41%
Lamine Yamal
27%
Kylian Mbappé
12%
Rodri
12%
Lionel Messi
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
R
1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Q
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Désiré Doué
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
T
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
S
<1%
U
<1%
Harry Kane 40.9%
Lamine Yamal 27.1%
Kylian Mbappé 11.6%
Rodri 12%
$19,433,588 Vol.
$19,433,588 Vol.
Harry Kane
41%
Lamine Yamal
27%
Kylian Mbappé
12%
Rodri
12%
Lionel Messi
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
R
1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Q
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Désiré Doué
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
T
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
S
<1%
U
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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