Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 27% implied probability after a standout 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he posted over 60 goals across competitions, secured the Bundesliga Golden Boot, and helped claim the league title plus DFB-Pokal. Ousmane Dembélé sits second at 18% on the back of PSG's continued dominance in Ligue 1 and Europe, building on his 2025 win with consistent output in key matches. Lamine Yamal follows at 15% thanks to his elite dribbling, chance creation, and rising profile at Barcelona despite fewer goals. Vitinha, Kylian Mbappé, and Michael Olise occupy the next tier amid strong club seasons, while the wide field reflects how the upcoming World Cup performances could shift voter priorities among the leading contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBallon d'Or Gewinner 2026
Harry Kane 27.0%
Ousmane Dembélé 18.1%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Vitinha 10.6%
$3,927,830 Vol.
$3,927,830 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Ousmane Dembélé
18%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Vitinha
11%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Michael Olise
5%
Bruno Fernandes
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Declan Rice
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Raphinha
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Désiré Doué
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 27.0%
Ousmane Dembélé 18.1%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Vitinha 10.6%
$3,927,830 Vol.
$3,927,830 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Ousmane Dembélé
18%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Vitinha
11%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Michael Olise
5%
Bruno Fernandes
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Declan Rice
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Raphinha
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Désiré Doué
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 27% implied probability after a standout 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he posted over 60 goals across competitions, secured the Bundesliga Golden Boot, and helped claim the league title plus DFB-Pokal. Ousmane Dembélé sits second at 18% on the back of PSG's continued dominance in Ligue 1 and Europe, building on his 2025 win with consistent output in key matches. Lamine Yamal follows at 15% thanks to his elite dribbling, chance creation, and rising profile at Barcelona despite fewer goals. Vitinha, Kylian Mbappé, and Michael Olise occupy the next tier amid strong club seasons, while the wide field reflects how the upcoming World Cup performances could shift voter priorities among the leading contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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