Market icon

Claude Mythos released by…?

Market icon

Claude Mythos released by…?

NEW

$22,419 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$22,419 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$13,818 Vol.

1%

April 30

$8,277 Vol.

40%

30. Juni

$324 Vol.

45%

A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A data leak from Anthropic's content management system yesterday exposed draft posts on Claude Mythos, confirming it as the company's most capable large language model yet—a "step change" in reasoning, coding, and cybersecurity benchmarks that dramatically outpaces prior Claude Opus versions. Anthropic acknowledged the model is undergoing internal testing with a planned slower rollout to address unprecedented risks, including potential AI-powered exploits, sparking cybersecurity stock declines. In the competitive AI landscape against OpenAI's GPT series and xAI's Grok, trader consensus reflects caution on timelines, pricing moderate odds for a summer 2026 release amid no official date; watch for regulatory scrutiny or safety evaluations as key catalysts.

A data leak from Anthropic's content management system yesterday exposed draft posts on Claude Mythos, confirming it as the company's most capable large language model yet—a "step change" in reasoning, coding, and cybersecurity benchmarks that dramatically outpaces prior Claude Opus versions. Anthropic acknowledged the model is undergoing internal testing with a planned slower rollout to address unprecedented risks, including potential AI-powered exploits, sparking cybersecurity stock declines. In the competitive AI landscape against OpenAI's GPT series and xAI's Grok, trader consensus reflects caution on timelines, pricing moderate odds for a summer 2026 release amid no official date; watch for regulatory scrutiny or safety evaluations as key catalysts.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
A data leak on March 26, 2026, exposed Anthropic's unreleased "Claude Mythos" model, described as their most capable yet with significant advances in coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity, which the company has confirmed is now in early access testing. You can read more about that here: https://fortune.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-says-testing-mythos-powerful-new-ai-model-after-data-leak-reveals-its-existence-step-change-in-capabilities/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A data leak from Anthropic's content management system yesterday exposed draft posts on Claude Mythos, confirming it as the company's most capable large language model yet—a "step change" in reasoning, coding, and cybersecurity benchmarks that dramatically outpaces prior Claude Opus versions. Anthropic acknowledged the model is undergoing internal testing with a planned slower rollout to address unprecedented risks, including potential AI-powered exploits, sparking cybersecurity stock declines. In the competitive AI landscape against OpenAI's GPT series and xAI's Grok, trader consensus reflects caution on timelines, pricing moderate odds for a summer 2026 release amid no official date; watch for regulatory scrutiny or safety evaluations as key catalysts.

A data leak from Anthropic's content management system yesterday exposed draft posts on Claude Mythos, confirming it as the company's most capable large language model yet—a "step change" in reasoning, coding, and cybersecurity benchmarks that dramatically outpaces prior Claude Opus versions. Anthropic acknowledged the model is undergoing internal testing with a planned slower rollout to address unprecedented risks, including potential AI-powered exploits, sparking cybersecurity stock declines. In the competitive AI landscape against OpenAI's GPT series and xAI's Grok, trader consensus reflects caution on timelines, pricing moderate odds for a summer 2026 release amid no official date; watch for regulatory scrutiny or safety evaluations as key catalysts.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Claude Mythos released by…?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „30. Juni" mit 45%, gefolgt von „April 30" mit 40%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Claude Mythos released by…?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $22.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 27, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Claude Mythos released by…?" ist „30. Juni" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „April 30" mit 40%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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