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icon for Zu einer Gefängnisstrafe verurteilt?

Zu einer Gefängnisstrafe verurteilt?

icon for Zu einer Gefängnisstrafe verurteilt?

Zu einer Gefängnisstrafe verurteilt?

Ja

16% Chance
Polymarket

$65,497 Vol.

Ja

16% Chance
Polymarket

$65,497 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters), the prominent looksmaxxing influencer and streamer, reached a plea deal in mid-May 2026 that resolved his most prominent criminal matter without prison time.** He pleaded no contest to a misdemeanor charge tied to unlawfully discharging a firearm during a March Everglades livestream involving an alligator, receiving six months of probation, 20 hours of non-monetized community service, and required safety courses. Felony counts were dropped or reduced, consistent with Florida statutes for such public discharge violations that typically carry under one year but often resolve via probation for first-time or low-level offenses. Earlier 2026 arrests—including a Florida battery warrant and an Arizona drug/fake-ID incident—have likewise ended without convictions carrying jail time, with bodycam footage and court records showing quick releases or deferred outcomes. These verified resolutions, alongside the misdemeanor thresholds and absence of active felony proceedings heading to sentencing, underpin the market's strong 84% implied probability against prison. Any remaining civil suits or minor matters lack the criteria for incarceration and face high uncertainty typical of entertainment-adjacent legal cases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.

Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”

If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$65,497
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Clavicular (Braden Eric Peters), the prominent looksmaxxing influencer and streamer, reached a plea deal in mid-May 2026 that resolved his most prominent criminal matter without prison time.** He pleaded no contest to a misdemeanor charge tied to unlawfully discharging a firearm during a March Everglades livestream involving an alligator, receiving six months of probation, 20 hours of non-monetized community service, and required safety courses. Felony counts were dropped or reduced, consistent with Florida statutes for such public discharge violations that typically carry under one year but often resolve via probation for first-time or low-level offenses. Earlier 2026 arrests—including a Florida battery warrant and an Arizona drug/fake-ID incident—have likewise ended without convictions carrying jail time, with bodycam footage and court records showing quick releases or deferred outcomes. These verified resolutions, alongside the misdemeanor thresholds and absence of active felony proceedings heading to sentencing, underpin the market's strong 84% implied probability against prison. Any remaining civil suits or minor matters lack the criteria for incarceration and face high uncertainty typical of entertainment-adjacent legal cases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.

Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”

If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$65,497
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Zu einer Gefängnisstrafe verurteilt?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Clavicular zu einer Gefängnisstrafe verurteilt?" mit 16%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 16¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 16% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Zu einer Gefängnisstrafe verurteilt?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $65.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 27, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Zu einer Gefängnisstrafe verurteilt?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Zu einer Gefängnisstrafe verurteilt?" ist „Clavicular zu einer Gefängnisstrafe verurteilt?" mit 16%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 16% zuweist. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Zu einer Gefängnisstrafe verurteilt?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.