**US citizenship revocation requires specific legal triggers under US law, such as voluntary renunciation documented in federal records or conviction for certain acts like treason, none of which apply to Eileen Gu based on public information.** She acquired citizenship at birth in San Francisco and has faced ongoing debate over dual status while competing for China since 2019, given Beijing's policy against recognizing dual nationality. However, her name has never appeared in the IRS quarterly expatriation publication, and no US agency has initiated proceedings. Recent Olympic-related criticism, including remarks from figures like JD Vance, has fueled online discussion but produced no legislative proposals, executive actions, or court filings targeting her status by mid-2026. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to "No" because the bar for involuntary loss remains high absent new statutes or extraordinary charges. Late developments that could shift odds include congressional passage of targeted expatriation rules, formal charges tied to national security, or an unexpected voluntary renunciation filing before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline.