**Eileen Gu, the US-born freestyle skier who represents China, holds birthright US citizenship with no documented renunciation or expatriation listed in federal records.** Recent 2026 Olympic coverage and political commentary, including remarks from figures like JD Vance, highlighted ongoing debate over her dual-nationality status and Chinese passport but produced no formal revocation proceedings, legislative proposals, or executive actions. US citizenship revocation remains narrowly limited to specific statutory grounds such as naturalization fraud, treason, or certain criminal convictions—none of which apply here—and requires due process that has not been initiated. Trader consensus at 95.5% against revocation reflects this structural and evidentiary reality, with the market pricing in the absence of any active catalyst. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a confirmed finding of passport or naturalization irregularities, a major geopolitical escalation prompting targeted sanctions or denaturalization reviews, or an unforeseen court ruling on her status; absent such developments, the probability is expected to stay heavily skewed toward “No.”