Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the United Kingdom as the narrow frontrunner for last place at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, with a 25.5% implied probability edging Austria's 20%, reflecting lukewarm post-release reception to both nations' unconventional entries since March. The UK's experimental electronic track "Eins, Zwei, Drei" by YouTuber Look Mum No Computer has drawn mixed reviews as a bold but niche choice unlikely to sway juries or broad televotes, echoing the UK's spotty recent history outside 2022's runner-up finish. Host Austria's "Tanzschein" by COSMÓ, fresh off its national final win, is seen as a fun bop lacking frontrunner momentum despite home advantage. With Big 5 auto-qualification shielding them from semis risk but exposing them to final scoring pitfalls, key differentiators include staging reveals and artist draw; first rehearsals kick off May 1, poised to shift dynamics amid fierce competition from Finland-led favorites.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEurovision Letzter Platz 2026
Eurovision Letzter Platz 2026
Österreich 20%
Vereinigtes Königreich 20%
Deutschland 10%
Luxemburg 7.9%
$56,740 Vol.
$56,740 Vol.
Österreich
20%
Vereinigtes Königreich
26%
Deutschland
10%
Luxemburg
8%
Polen
7%
Zypern
6%
Georgien
6%
Albanien
5%
San Marino
5%
Dänemark
5%
Aserbaidschan
4%
Belgien
4%
Italien
4%
Montenegro
4%
Moldawien
3%
Armenien
3%
Malta
3%
Portugal
3%
Serbien
3%
Tschechien
3%
Australien
3%
Bulgarien
2%
Kroatien
2%
Estland
8%
Israel
2%
Rumänien
2%
Lettland
8%
Litauen
2%
Frankreich
2%
Griechenland
1%
Schweiz
10%
Norwegen
6%
Schweden
1%
Ukraine
1%
Finnland
<1%
Österreich 20%
Vereinigtes Königreich 20%
Deutschland 10%
Luxemburg 7.9%
$56,740 Vol.
$56,740 Vol.
Österreich
20%
Vereinigtes Königreich
26%
Deutschland
10%
Luxemburg
8%
Polen
7%
Zypern
6%
Georgien
6%
Albanien
5%
San Marino
5%
Dänemark
5%
Aserbaidschan
4%
Belgien
4%
Italien
4%
Montenegro
4%
Moldawien
3%
Armenien
3%
Malta
3%
Portugal
3%
Serbien
3%
Tschechien
3%
Australien
3%
Bulgarien
2%
Kroatien
2%
Estland
8%
Israel
2%
Rumänien
2%
Lettland
8%
Litauen
2%
Frankreich
2%
Griechenland
1%
Schweiz
10%
Norwegen
6%
Schweden
1%
Ukraine
1%
Finnland
<1%
If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the United Kingdom as the narrow frontrunner for last place at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, with a 25.5% implied probability edging Austria's 20%, reflecting lukewarm post-release reception to both nations' unconventional entries since March. The UK's experimental electronic track "Eins, Zwei, Drei" by YouTuber Look Mum No Computer has drawn mixed reviews as a bold but niche choice unlikely to sway juries or broad televotes, echoing the UK's spotty recent history outside 2022's runner-up finish. Host Austria's "Tanzschein" by COSMÓ, fresh off its national final win, is seen as a fun bop lacking frontrunner momentum despite home advantage. With Big 5 auto-qualification shielding them from semis risk but exposing them to final scoring pitfalls, key differentiators include staging reveals and artist draw; first rehearsals kick off May 1, poised to shift dynamics amid fierce competition from Finland-led favorites.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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