Recent results from the Six Invitational and Salt Lake City Major have scattered momentum across multiple squads, including FaZe Clan’s title defense run, DarkZero’s surprise major victory, and Team Secret’s prior EWC success, while roster adjustments and inconsistent form keep M80, Team Falcons, Virtus.pro, and Shopify Rebellion in striking distance. With 22 teams entering through seeded play-ins and group stages starting August 4 in Paris, the wide distribution of implied probabilities reflects the tactical depth of Rainbow Six Siege and the absence of a single dominant roster. Late qualification outcomes, map pool familiarity, and short rest between matches will likely determine which side advances deepest in the $2 million bracket.