Trader consensus reflects a dead heat in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D finale at SoFi Stadium, with the United States holding a slim 51.5% implied probability over Türkiye (50.5%) and draw (50.5%), driven by Türkiye's surging form and head-to-head edge. Türkiye secured their berth with gritty clean-sheet wins over Romania (1-0) and Kosovo (1-0) in March playoffs, building on their 2-1 friendly upset of the USMNT last June via goals from Arda Güler and Kerem Aktürkoğlu. The hosts benefit from home-soil advantage and co-host motivation for advancement alongside Paraguay and Australia, but recent USMNT struggles—a 5-2 friendly rout by Belgium—plus forward Patrick Agyemang's Achilles injury, heighten defensive concerns and keep the race tightly contested.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIf Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Türkiye wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a dead heat in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D finale at SoFi Stadium, with the United States holding a slim 51.5% implied probability over Türkiye (50.5%) and draw (50.5%), driven by Türkiye's surging form and head-to-head edge. Türkiye secured their berth with gritty clean-sheet wins over Romania (1-0) and Kosovo (1-0) in March playoffs, building on their 2-1 friendly upset of the USMNT last June via goals from Arda Güler and Kerem Aktürkoğlu. The hosts benefit from home-soil advantage and co-host motivation for advancement alongside Paraguay and Australia, but recent USMNT struggles—a 5-2 friendly rout by Belgium—plus forward Patrick Agyemang's Achilles injury, heighten defensive concerns and keep the race tightly contested.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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