Trader consensus favors Vitality at 44% implied probability to win IEM Rio 2026, bolstered by their world #1 HLTV ranking, back-to-back Major triumphs earlier in 2026, and a favorable playoff quarterfinal matchup against Natus Vincere despite a 1-2 group stage loss to Falcons that snapped their lengthy win streak. Falcons surged to 28.8% after dominating Spirit 2-0 and upsetting Vitality in the Group A upper bracket final to secure a semifinal spot. FURIA holds 17% on home crowd energy in Rio, advancing undefeated through Group B with a 2-0 rout of MOUZ amid stand-in usage for FalleN and KSCERATO's visa issues; NaVi, Spirit, and MOUZ linger at 4-5% facing elimination risks in quarters.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIEM Rio 2026 Sieger
IEM Rio 2026 Sieger
Vitality 44%
Falcons 29.1%
FURIA 16%
Natus Vincere 5.0%
$533,282 Vol.
$533,282 Vol.

Vitality
44%

Falcons
29%

FURIA
16%

Natus Vincere
5%

Team Spirit
5%

MOUZ
4%
Vitality 44%
Falcons 29.1%
FURIA 16%
Natus Vincere 5.0%
$533,282 Vol.
$533,282 Vol.

Vitality
44%

Falcons
29%

FURIA
16%

Natus Vincere
5%

Team Spirit
5%

MOUZ
4%
If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 6, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Rio) may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Vitality at 44% implied probability to win IEM Rio 2026, bolstered by their world #1 HLTV ranking, back-to-back Major triumphs earlier in 2026, and a favorable playoff quarterfinal matchup against Natus Vincere despite a 1-2 group stage loss to Falcons that snapped their lengthy win streak. Falcons surged to 28.8% after dominating Spirit 2-0 and upsetting Vitality in the Group A upper bracket final to secure a semifinal spot. FURIA holds 17% on home crowd energy in Rio, advancing undefeated through Group B with a 2-0 rout of MOUZ amid stand-in usage for FalleN and KSCERATO's visa issues; NaVi, Spirit, and MOUZ linger at 4-5% facing elimination risks in quarters.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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