Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability that CarMax (KMX) will miss consensus GAAP EPS estimates of $0.22 for its Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings due on April 14, 2026, reflecting persistent weakness in the used vehicle market. Retail used unit sales fell 8% year-over-year in Q3 despite price cuts and marketing pushes, amid elevated auto loan rates curbing affordability and dampening demand. While Q3 EPS beat lowered expectations at $0.43 versus $0.37, a prior Q2 miss ($0.64 versus $1.09) and downward analyst revisions—yielding a "Reduce" rating and $39 average price target—underscore caution. Key swing factors include wholesale margins and financing income ahead of the release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Carmax (KMX) das Quartalsergebnis übertreffen?
Wird Carmax (KMX) das Quartalsergebnis übertreffen?
Ja
Ja
If Carmax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 30, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Carmax releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability that CarMax (KMX) will miss consensus GAAP EPS estimates of $0.22 for its Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings due on April 14, 2026, reflecting persistent weakness in the used vehicle market. Retail used unit sales fell 8% year-over-year in Q3 despite price cuts and marketing pushes, amid elevated auto loan rates curbing affordability and dampening demand. While Q3 EPS beat lowered expectations at $0.43 versus $0.37, a prior Q2 miss ($0.64 versus $1.09) and downward analyst revisions—yielding a "Reduce" rating and $39 average price target—underscore caution. Key swing factors include wholesale margins and financing income ahead of the release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen