Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 50% in the MI-13 Democratic primary, buoyed by his incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising—his April quarterly report shows $6.4 million cash on hand from self-funding—against state Rep. Donavan McKinney's 38% implied probability, driven by progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and Sen. Bernie Sanders appealing to the district's Black voting blocs in Detroit. Following the April 21 filing deadline, McKinney submitted petitions amid a crowded field including Shelby Campbell, Nazmul Hassan, and Anthony Carbonaro, potentially splitting opposition votes and aiding Thanedar. No public polls exist yet, with the August 4 primary four months away.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertShri Thanedar 50%
Donavan McKinney 38%
Shelby Campbell 4.5%
Nazmul Hassan 1.4%
$22,721 Vol.
$22,721 Vol.
Shri Thanedar
50%
Donavan McKinney
38%
Shelby Campbell
4%
Nazmul Hassan
1%
Anthony Carbonaro
1%
Shri Thanedar 50%
Donavan McKinney 38%
Shelby Campbell 4.5%
Nazmul Hassan 1.4%
$22,721 Vol.
$22,721 Vol.
Shri Thanedar
50%
Donavan McKinney
38%
Shelby Campbell
4%
Nazmul Hassan
1%
Anthony Carbonaro
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 50% in the MI-13 Democratic primary, buoyed by his incumbency advantage and dominant fundraising—his April quarterly report shows $6.4 million cash on hand from self-funding—against state Rep. Donavan McKinney's 38% implied probability, driven by progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and Sen. Bernie Sanders appealing to the district's Black voting blocs in Detroit. Following the April 21 filing deadline, McKinney submitted petitions amid a crowded field including Shelby Campbell, Nazmul Hassan, and Anthony Carbonaro, potentially splitting opposition votes and aiding Thanedar. No public polls exist yet, with the August 4 primary four months away.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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