Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map (HB 29) in early 2026 to enable mid-decade redistricting favoring their party in the November 3, 2026, U.S. House elections. Voters narrowly approved the referendum on April 21, but the Virginia Supreme Court unanimously invalidated the process on May 8 for procedural violations in placing the measure on the ballot. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further intervention on May 15. With primaries already conducted under the existing post-2020 lines and ballots prepared, the original map remains in effect as of September 2026. Traders assign 96% odds to "No" based on these binding rulings and administrative realities. A narrow window remains for an unforeseen late appeal, legislative workaround, or administrative reversal before Election Day, though such paths face steep procedural and timing barriers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
4% Chance
$69,922 Vol.
$69,922 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Ja
4% Chance
$69,922 Vol.
$69,922 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map (HB 29) in early 2026 to enable mid-decade redistricting favoring their party in the November 3, 2026, U.S. House elections. Voters narrowly approved the referendum on April 21, but the Virginia Supreme Court unanimously invalidated the process on May 8 for procedural violations in placing the measure on the ballot. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further intervention on May 15. With primaries already conducted under the existing post-2020 lines and ballots prepared, the original map remains in effect as of September 2026. Traders assign 96% odds to "No" based on these binding rulings and administrative realities. A narrow window remains for an unforeseen late appeal, legislative workaround, or administrative reversal before Election Day, though such paths face steep procedural and timing barriers.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Volumen
$69,922Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map (HB 29) in early 2026 to enable mid-decade redistricting favoring their party in the November 3, 2026, U.S. House elections. Voters narrowly approved the referendum on April 21, but the Virginia Supreme Court unanimously invalidated the process on May 8 for procedural violations in placing the measure on the ballot. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further intervention on May 15. With primaries already conducted under the existing post-2020 lines and ballots prepared, the original map remains in effect as of September 2026. Traders assign 96% odds to "No" based on these binding rulings and administrative realities. A narrow window remains for an unforeseen late appeal, legislative workaround, or administrative reversal before Election Day, though such paths face steep procedural and timing barriers.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$69,922Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map (HB 29) in early 2026 to enable mid-decade redistricting favoring their party in the November 3, 2026, U.S. House elections. Voters narrowly approved the referendum on April 21, but the Virginia Supreme Court unanimously invalidated the process on May 8 for procedural violations in placing the measure on the ballot. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further intervention on May 15. With primaries already conducted under the existing post-2020 lines and ballots prepared, the original map remains in effect as of September 2026. Traders assign 96% odds to "No" based on these binding rulings and administrative realities. A narrow window remains for an unforeseen late appeal, legislative workaround, or administrative reversal before Election Day, though such paths face steep procedural and timing barriers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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