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icon for Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl
Welt·Französische Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

icon for Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl
Welt·Französische Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

Marine Le Pen 34.5%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 7.1%

Polymarket

$132,889,711 Vol.

Marine Le Pen 34.5%

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 7.1%

Polymarket

$132,889,711 Vol.

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,413,173 Vol.

35%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,588,033 Vol.

28%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,432,872 Vol.

12%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,069,094 Vol.

7%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,773,315 Vol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,257,667 Vol.

2%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,245,325 Vol.

2%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,103,716 Vol.

2%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,865,878 Vol.

2%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,719,442 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,054,412 Vol.

1%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,310,835 Vol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,669,713 Vol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,683,627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$2,086,433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,260,300 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$4,175,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,937,507 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$3,645,921 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$4,148,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,685,062 Vol.

<1%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$857,640 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,244,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

$5,722,928 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$5,981,578 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$5,755,656 Vol.

<1%

icon for Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

$4,990,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,731,111 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$5,253,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$4,066,879 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

$5,939,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$5,446,132 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,701,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,742,192 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,337,313 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

$4,826,235 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$6,420,666 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucie Castets

Lucie Castets

$418,274 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yannick Jadot

Yannick Jadot

$750,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for François Baroin

François Baroin

$1,136,635 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marion Maréchal

Marion Maréchal

$441,505 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads trader consensus at 34.5% amid National Rally’s consistent first-round polling edge of 30-35%, bolstered by voter focus on immigration, debt levels, and dissatisfaction with the Macron era. Édouard Philippe follows at 27.5% as the primary center-right alternative, drawing support from voters favoring rassemblement of moderate and conservative forces ahead of the April 2027 vote. A fragmented field keeps the race tight, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 11.5% and lower shares for figures like David Lisnard, François Hollande, and Gabriel Attal reflecting divided opposition blocs. Recent polling and legal developments around Le Pen’s eligibility sustain her position, while Philippe’s emphasis on broad alliances and upcoming center-right coordination could shift probabilities if they consolidate anti-RN sentiment in runoff scenarios.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$132,889,711
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads trader consensus at 34.5% amid National Rally’s consistent first-round polling edge of 30-35%, bolstered by voter focus on immigration, debt levels, and dissatisfaction with the Macron era. Édouard Philippe follows at 27.5% as the primary center-right alternative, drawing support from voters favoring rassemblement of moderate and conservative forces ahead of the April 2027 vote. A fragmented field keeps the race tight, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 11.5% and lower shares for figures like David Lisnard, François Hollande, and Gabriel Attal reflecting divided opposition blocs. Recent polling and legal developments around Le Pen’s eligibility sustain her position, while Philippe’s emphasis on broad alliances and upcoming center-right coordination could shift probabilities if they consolidate anti-RN sentiment in runoff scenarios.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$132,889,711
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

89%
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

96%
icon for Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

87%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 41+ möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Marine Le Pen" mit 35%, gefolgt von „Édouard Philippe" mit 28%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 35¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $132.9 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 41+ verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist „Marine Le Pen" mit 35%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 28%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.