The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSenatswahl in Rhode Island: Wahlbeteiligung
Senatswahl in Rhode Island: Wahlbeteiligung
<250T 45%
300T-350T 45%
350T-400T 45%
250.000-300.000 45%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<250T
45%
250.000-300.000
45%
300T-350T
45%
350T-400T
45%
400T-450T
45%
450.000+
45%
<250T 45%
300T-350T 45%
350T-400T 45%
250.000-300.000 45%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
<250T
$0 Vol.
45%
250.000-300.000
$0 Vol.
45%
300T-350T
$0 Vol.
45%
350T-400T
$0 Vol.
45%
400T-450T
$0 Vol.
45%
450.000+
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for Rhode Island's November 3, 2026 Senate election reflect uncertainty over midterm participation in a heavily Democratic state where incumbent Jack Reed holds a substantial lead over Republican Raymond McKay. With primaries set for September 9 and no high-profile national spotlight or competitive dynamics to drive mobilization, trader consensus incorporates typical factors such as historical midterm participation rates, registered voter trends, and variable enthusiasm among core Democratic and Republican blocs. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger get-out-the-vote efforts, primary results signaling base energy, final voter registration updates, or late-cycle events affecting turnout in this low-population state.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
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45%
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