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Politik·Nigeria

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Sokoto, Nigeria

icon for Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Sokoto, Nigeria
Politik·Nigeria

Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Sokoto, Nigeria

Ahmed Aliyu 67%

Manir Muhammad Dan Iya 48%

Abdulrrahim Chindo 44%

Mustapha Shehu 24%

Polymarket
NEU

Ahmed Aliyu 67%

Manir Muhammad Dan Iya 48%

Abdulrrahim Chindo 44%

Mustapha Shehu 24%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Ahmed Aliyu

Ahmed Aliyu

$22 Vol.

67%

icon for Manir Muhammad Dan Iya

Manir Muhammad Dan Iya

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for Abdulrrahim Chindo

Abdulrrahim Chindo

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Mustapha Shehu

Mustapha Shehu

$0 Vol.

24%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the APC incumbent, leads trader consensus at 67% due to his unopposed party affirmation in May 2026, unified state structure under Senator Aliyu Magatakarda Wamakko, and visible delivery on infrastructure, salaries, and security initiatives amid improved federal funding. Fractured opposition dynamics further support this positioning: PDP factions have produced parallel candidates and executives, while ADC nominee Manir Muhammad Dan Iya (47%) and others like Abdulrrahim Chindo (44%) face limited organizational reach ahead of the February 2027 poll. Recent collation reports from local government areas showing Aliyu ahead in declared results, alongside ongoing banditry challenges, have reinforced perceptions of incumbency advantage without altering the core structural factors.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volumen
$22
Enddatum
6. Feb. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Aliyu, the APC incumbent, leads trader consensus at 67% due to his unopposed party affirmation in May 2026, unified state structure under Senator Aliyu Magatakarda Wamakko, and visible delivery on infrastructure, salaries, and security initiatives amid improved federal funding. Fractured opposition dynamics further support this positioning: PDP factions have produced parallel candidates and executives, while ADC nominee Manir Muhammad Dan Iya (47%) and others like Abdulrrahim Chindo (44%) face limited organizational reach ahead of the February 2027 poll. Recent collation reports from local government areas showing Aliyu ahead in declared results, alongside ongoing banditry challenges, have reinforced perceptions of incumbency advantage without altering the core structural factors.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volumen
$22
Enddatum
6. Feb. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sokoto State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Sokoto, Nigeria" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Ahmed Aliyu" mit 67%, gefolgt von „Manir Muhammad Dan Iya" mit 48%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 67¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 67% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Sokoto, Nigeria" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 21, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Sokoto, Nigeria" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Sokoto, Nigeria" ist „Ahmed Aliyu" mit 67%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 67% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Manir Muhammad Dan Iya" mit 48%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Sokoto, Nigeria" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.