Strong corporate earnings momentum, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating second-quarter estimates, and sustained AI-related capital spending form the core driver of trader sentiment for the index level by December 2026. The benchmark closed near 7,650 in mid-September after an 11.8% year-to-date advance, supported by robust productivity and capital investment even as the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds target range to 3.75-4% on September 16 amid PCE inflation near 3.6-3.7%. Ten-year Treasury yields at 5% and mixed analyst year-end targets (mostly 7,700-8,100) reflect the balance between earnings growth and tighter monetary policy. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming labor market and inflation releases that could influence further rate expectations and equity valuations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$372,625 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9.300
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ 8.600 $
9%
↑ $8.200
27%
↑ $8,000
50%
↓ $7,400
67%
↓ $7,200
43%
↓ $7,000
25%
↓ $6.200
13%
↓ $6,000
9%
↓ $5.800
7%
↓ $5.200
4%
↓ $4.500
4%
$372,625 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$446 Vol.
3%
↑ $9.300
$10,126 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
11%
↑ 8.600 $
$31,871 Vol.
9%
↑ $8.200
$23,939 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 Vol.
50%
↓ $7,400
$81 Vol.
67%
↓ $7,200
$415 Vol.
43%
↓ $7,000
$2,128 Vol.
25%
↓ $6.200
$60,586 Vol.
13%
↓ $6,000
$4,961 Vol.
9%
↓ $5.800
$44,511 Vol.
7%
↓ $5.200
$70,295 Vol.
4%
↓ $4.500
$62,517 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Strong corporate earnings momentum, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating second-quarter estimates, and sustained AI-related capital spending form the core driver of trader sentiment for the index level by December 2026. The benchmark closed near 7,650 in mid-September after an 11.8% year-to-date advance, supported by robust productivity and capital investment even as the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds target range to 3.75-4% on September 16 amid PCE inflation near 3.6-3.7%. Ten-year Treasury yields at 5% and mixed analyst year-end targets (mostly 7,700-8,100) reflect the balance between earnings growth and tighter monetary policy. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming labor market and inflation releases that could influence further rate expectations and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volumen
$372,625Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.Strong corporate earnings momentum, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating second-quarter estimates, and sustained AI-related capital spending form the core driver of trader sentiment for the index level by December 2026. The benchmark closed near 7,650 in mid-September after an 11.8% year-to-date advance, supported by robust productivity and capital investment even as the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds target range to 3.75-4% on September 16 amid PCE inflation near 3.6-3.7%. Ten-year Treasury yields at 5% and mixed analyst year-end targets (mostly 7,700-8,100) reflect the balance between earnings growth and tighter monetary policy. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming labor market and inflation releases that could influence further rate expectations and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Volumen
$372,625Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Strong corporate earnings momentum, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating second-quarter estimates, and sustained AI-related capital spending form the core driver of trader sentiment for the index level by December 2026. The benchmark closed near 7,650 in mid-September after an 11.8% year-to-date advance, supported by robust productivity and capital investment even as the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds target range to 3.75-4% on September 16 amid PCE inflation near 3.6-3.7%. Ten-year Treasury yields at 5% and mixed analyst year-end targets (mostly 7,700-8,100) reflect the balance between earnings growth and tighter monetary policy. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming labor market and inflation releases that could influence further rate expectations and equity valuations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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