Real Madrid hosts Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal first leg at Santiago Bernabéu, where trader consensus reflects Bayern's slim edge at 41.5% implied probability amid Real's mounting injury and disciplinary concerns. Thibaut Courtois remains sidelined with a thigh injury, forcing Andriy Lunin into goal, while Rodrygo is out long-term with a cruciate ligament tear; Ferland Mendy and Dani Ceballos are doubtful. Critically, six key Real players—Aurélien Tchouaméni, Jude Bellingham, Álvaro Carreras, Kylian Mbappé, Dean Huijsen, and Vinícius Júnior—risk suspension for the return leg with one yellow card under UEFA rules. Bayern enters healthier, with Harry Kane declared fit despite recent ankle issues and a fully available squad, offsetting their poor recent head-to-head record against Real since 2012. Home advantage keeps the matchup tight, with draw pricing at 23.5% underscoring potential tactical caution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Real Madrid hosts Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal first leg at Santiago Bernabéu, where trader consensus reflects Bayern's slim edge at 41.5% implied probability amid Real's mounting injury and disciplinary concerns. Thibaut Courtois remains sidelined with a thigh injury, forcing Andriy Lunin into goal, while Rodrygo is out long-term with a cruciate ligament tear; Ferland Mendy and Dani Ceballos are doubtful. Critically, six key Real players—Aurélien Tchouaméni, Jude Bellingham, Álvaro Carreras, Kylian Mbappé, Dean Huijsen, and Vinícius Júnior—risk suspension for the return leg with one yellow card under UEFA rules. Bayern enters healthier, with Harry Kane declared fit despite recent ankle issues and a fully available squad, offsetting their poor recent head-to-head record against Real since 2012. Home advantage keeps the matchup tight, with draw pricing at 23.5% underscoring potential tactical caution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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