**USD/JPY trades near 157.5–158 as of September 18, 2026, with the 150–160 range commanding the highest implied probability at 38.5%.** The primary driver remains the widening policy-rate differential after the Federal Reserve raised its target range to 3.75–4.00% on September 16—with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one additional hike this year—while the Bank of Japan lifted its policy rate to 1.25% the following day. Markets viewed the BoJ move as largely priced in and less aggressive than anticipated, limiting yen support. Treasury yields and persistent U.S. inflation data have reinforced dollar strength, though Japanese intervention risks and any faster BoJ normalization could cap upside toward the 160–170 band (28.0%). The market-implied path reflects trader consensus on sustained but narrowing rate spreads through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert150-160 39%
160-170 28%
140-150 17.8%
<140 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Dez. 2026
<140
17%
140-150
18%
150-160
39%
160-170
28%
170-180
8%
180+
4%
150-160 39%
160-170 28%
140-150 17.8%
<140 17%
NEU
NEU
30. Dez. 2026
<140
$505 Vol.
17%
140-150
$189 Vol.
18%
150-160
$2,072 Vol.
39%
160-170
$1,445 Vol.
28%
170-180
$136 Vol.
8%
180+
$223 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**USD/JPY trades near 157.5–158 as of September 18, 2026, with the 150–160 range commanding the highest implied probability at 38.5%.** The primary driver remains the widening policy-rate differential after the Federal Reserve raised its target range to 3.75–4.00% on September 16—with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one additional hike this year—while the Bank of Japan lifted its policy rate to 1.25% the following day. Markets viewed the BoJ move as largely priced in and less aggressive than anticipated, limiting yen support. Treasury yields and persistent U.S. inflation data have reinforced dollar strength, though Japanese intervention risks and any faster BoJ normalization could cap upside toward the 160–170 band (28.0%). The market-implied path reflects trader consensus on sustained but narrowing rate spreads through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volumen
$4,570Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**USD/JPY trades near 157.5–158 as of September 18, 2026, with the 150–160 range commanding the highest implied probability at 38.5%.** The primary driver remains the widening policy-rate differential after the Federal Reserve raised its target range to 3.75–4.00% on September 16—with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one additional hike this year—while the Bank of Japan lifted its policy rate to 1.25% the following day. Markets viewed the BoJ move as largely priced in and less aggressive than anticipated, limiting yen support. Treasury yields and persistent U.S. inflation data have reinforced dollar strength, though Japanese intervention risks and any faster BoJ normalization could cap upside toward the 160–170 band (28.0%). The market-implied path reflects trader consensus on sustained but narrowing rate spreads through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$4,570Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**USD/JPY trades near 157.5–158 as of September 18, 2026, with the 150–160 range commanding the highest implied probability at 38.5%.** The primary driver remains the widening policy-rate differential after the Federal Reserve raised its target range to 3.75–4.00% on September 16—with 16 of 18 participants expecting at least one additional hike this year—while the Bank of Japan lifted its policy rate to 1.25% the following day. Markets viewed the BoJ move as largely priced in and less aggressive than anticipated, limiting yen support. Treasury yields and persistent U.S. inflation data have reinforced dollar strength, though Japanese intervention risks and any faster BoJ normalization could cap upside toward the 160–170 band (28.0%). The market-implied path reflects trader consensus on sustained but narrowing rate spreads through year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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